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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
0
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 3:38 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 46% to 58%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 43, DET 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 2. Thomas Greiss (40 saves, .952), 3. Petr Mrazek (14 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Greiss40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek14 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR113012218343
DETDET050603014

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(1)
    T. Teravainen (1), S. Aho (1)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:38

3rd period

  1. CAR
    R. Dzingel(1)PPG
    J. Gardiner (1), M. Necas (1)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    2-0
    17:26
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)EN
    T. Teravainen (2)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    18:55

Penalties

CAR 9 PIM·DET 11 PIM

2nd

  • 3:06DETJon Merrill · High stickingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 13:34CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 18:18DETSam Gagner · Fightingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton5 min
  • 18:18CARDougie Hamilton · Fightingdrawn by Sam Gagner5 min

3rd

  • 1:58CARWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 14:50DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 16:37DETPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 1st 3:38 — CAR 46% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.24T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.21S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.11F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.09A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.08M. Brome · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Brome · On goal · xG 0.07F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.06A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01
DET0 G · 1.7 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
3.82 G
All situations
0 G1.7
2.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR76%24%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
43
Shots on goal
14
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+220.05120—23:50
19D. HamiltonD000+220.15205—21:14
76B. SkjeiD000020.13202—19:52
20S. AhoC011+220.240106219:33
22B. PesceD000000.08000—19:28
86T. TeravainenC022+270.55010018:59
4H. FleuryD000030.04110—18:40
37A. SvechnikovR101+120.60400—17:35
88M. NecasC011040.291105015:56
11J. StaalC000020.163005015:26
21N. NiederreiterR101+130.39010—15:24
16V. TrocheckC000050.470006915:16
71J. FastR000020.15510—14:10
51J. GardinerD011030.10110—13:38
13W. FoegeleL000020.10202—13:16
18R. DzingelC101010.28400011:57
23B. McGinnL000010.01100—11:23
48J. MartinookL000000.000006410:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)141401.0001.73+1.7360:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).