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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robby Fabbri's goal at 12:28 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 37, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. James Reimer stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Jonathan Bernier stopped 35 of 37 (.946). Three stars: 1. Adam Erne (2 G), 2. Jonathan Bernier (35 saves, .946), 3. Filip Hronek (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Erne2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Bernier35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    DET
    F. Hronek1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR17119011237
DETDET2151815428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(13)PPG
    J. Fast (8), J. Bean (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:21
  2. DET
    A. Erne(4)PPG
    F. Zadina (9), F. Hronek (16)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    3:35
  3. DET
    A. Erne(5)PPG
    D. Larkin (8), F. Hronek (17)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:11

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(11)
    M. Necas (15), D. Hamilton (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:50
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(6)
    D. Larkin (9), M. Staal (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    12:28

3rd period

  1. DET
    F. Hronek(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:34

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:59DETAnthony Mantha · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 2:48CARHaydn Fleury · Interferencedrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 11:20CARCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 17:45CARDougie Hamilton · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 2:52DETChristian Djoos · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 8:50CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holdingdrawn by Danny DeKeyser2 min
  • 13:51CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 18:48DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 13:36CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Robby Fabbri, 2nd 12:28 — DET 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.29A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.25D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.22A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.18R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.17D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.16R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.15M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.12M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR39%61%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
37
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000-110.01120—23:44
19D. HamiltonD0110110.44102—23:29
74J. SlavinD000+130.04130—21:59
11J. StaalC000-100.000126821:29
76B. SkjeiD000-110.05120—21:21
37A. SvechnikovR000-140.28102—21:10
20S. AhoC101-130.210006720:56
88M. NecasC011-120.0700010019:13
71J. FastR011010.05200—18:17
23B. McGinnL000000.04010—16:11
24J. BeanD011-110.06010—15:19
21N. NiederreiterR101040.45000—14:06
78S. LorentzC000030.1200010012:37
48J. MartinookL000000.001002711:15
4H. FleuryD000010.02102—10:06
67M. GeekieC000000.000103809:37
18C. PaquetteC000020.2410210006:14
13W. FoegeleL000000.00000—04:54
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)27243.8892.74-0.2658:25

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).