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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-D·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 0:45 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were DET 35, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 2 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Fast1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET111113011235
CARCAR18110314532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(2)
    V. Namestnikov (4), S. Gagner (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:54
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(8)PPG
    D. Hamilton (14), J. Staal (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    11:15

2nd period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(3)PPG
    A. Erne (4), E. Svechnikov (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    7:35
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(4)
    N. Niederreiter (5), V. Trocheck (8)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    18:45

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(8)
    J. Fast (6), D. Hamilton (15)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    0:45
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(3)
    A. Svechnikov (11), J. Staal (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    2:50
  3. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(10)EN
    M. Necas (13), V. Trocheck (9)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:55

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:08DETAdam Erne · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 15:49CARTeuvo Teravainen · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

2nd

  • 0:31CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 6:05CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 11:03DETEvgeny Svechnikov · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

  • 16:46CARVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 3rd 0:45 — CAR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.55S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.25T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.17J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.17B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.06C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.82 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
35
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-240.09210—21:47
39A. ManthaR000-260.421105020:43
18M. StaalD000000.00010—20:37
14R. FabbriC000-100.013003320:07
24J. MerrillD000020.04120—18:46
89S. GagnerC011010.130104318:34
44C. DjoosD000-210.04000—17:51
11F. ZadinaR202060.63000—17:10
65D. DeKeyserD000-100.01150—17:00
54B. RyanR000-140.49200—16:43
22P. NemethD000-100.00120—16:37
92V. NamestnikovC011030.190005816:08
27M. RasmussenC000-110.254004315:12
73A. ErneL011-240.272123314:41
41L. GlendeningC000010.031104613:46
37E. SvechnikovL011000.00002—11:29
43D. HelmC000-120.12300011:04
86M. BromeL000-200.03000—09:57
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)31274.8712.75-1.2559:41

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).