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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV ESPN+, BSDET+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Erne's goal at 0:24 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 30, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.2 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (37 saves, .974), 2. Michael Rasmussen (2 A), 3. James Reimer (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Bernier37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Reimer27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET010010310330
CARCAR013011114138

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Erne(11)
    M. Rasmussen (6), V. Filppula (5)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +24 pts
    1-0
    0:24
  2. DET
    F. Zadina(5)PPG
    M. Rasmussen (7), D. Larkin (14)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:34
  3. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(15)
    W. Foegele (8), J. Staal (17)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    13:54
  4. DET
    S. Gagner(5)EN
    V. Filppula (6), D. DeKeyser (5)
    slapxG 0.75win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:05

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

2nd

  • 4:31DETValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:51CARMorgan Geekie · Throwing equipment2 min
  • 11:39DETMichael Rasmussen · Holdingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 14:42CARJordan Staal · Holdingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

3rd

  • 0:24CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 1:38CARBrady Skjei · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:03DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 5:44CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 9:48DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Erne, 3rd 0:24 — DET 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.22J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.20V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.20J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.18W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.17N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.17S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.15C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
3.52 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.41 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET44%56%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
38
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
6
8
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000050.13200—24:16
71D. LarkinC011050.562144823:53
18M. StaalD000+110.01100—20:09
65D. DeKeyserD011000.00230—19:34
51V. FilppulaC022+100.000121719:12
27M. RasmussenC022010.162124017:52
11F. ZadinaR101030.39000—17:30
43D. HelmC000010.01110016:47
70T. StecherD000+220.02340—16:25
73A. ErneL101+250.72400—16:11
41L. GlendeningC000030.343204715:52
89S. GagnerC101010.870103315:08
37E. SvechnikovL000010.14300—13:03
81F. NielsenC000020.130003311:59
21D. CholowskiD000000.00000—11:55
3A. BiegaD000-100.00130—11:25
28G. LindstromD000000.00100—10:52
48G. SmithR000000.00400—09:30
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(W)38371.9743.21+2.2159:57

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).