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Canadiens at Flames
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV SN, RDS·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 5:58 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were MTL 20, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jacob Markstrom stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 A), 3. Sean Monahan (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL270508220
CGYCGY21308210431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(8)
    A. Mangiapane (11), D. Ryan (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:06
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(23)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:19
  3. MTL
    J. Armia(6)
    P. Danault (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:24
  4. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(13)PPG
    N. Hanifin (11), S. Monahan (17)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    19:24

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(10)
    J. Gaudreau (19), J. Nordstrom (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:58
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(14)EN
    S. Monahan (18)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:52

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:43MTLShea Weber · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 1:03CGYMichael Stone · Roughingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMTL goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 3rd 5:58 — CGY 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.65E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.42S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.17D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.13B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.09D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.00C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCGY
1.32 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL24%76%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCGY
20
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
14
6
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
11
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-230.09302—22:29
73T. ToffoliC101-150.35000020:18
26J. PetryD000010.04010—19:47
8B. ChiarotD000-100.00000—19:29
94C. PerryR000-120.06100—18:20
40J. ArmiaR101+220.14100—17:57
14N. SuzukiC000+110.190002717:50
17J. AndersonR000-100.09210—17:20
44J. EdmundsonD000000.01200—17:13
28J. MerrillD000000.00000—17:07
90T. TatarL000-120.15200—16:29
24P. DanaultC011-220.063106416:02
15J. KotkaniemiC000020.162001815:42
62A. LehkonenL000000.00010—14:43
27A. RomanovD000000.00320—14:20
21E. StaalC000000.001002913:50
41P. ByronL000-100.02200—13:37
32E. GustafssonD000+100.00000—07:12
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)30273.9002.77-0.2358:18

Season series

CGY leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).