Skip to content

Calgary Flames at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV CBC, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 3:34 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 50% to 58%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 33, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Jake Allen (31 saves, .969), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom37 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Allen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11605112233
MTLMTL012015010037

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:34

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.79win prob +5 pts
    2-0
    19:28

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·MTL 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:00MTLBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:03MTLAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 11:03CGYJosh Leivo · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 11:03CGYRasmus Andersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:03MTLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 11:40MTLPhillip Danault · High stickingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 19:44CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

2nd

  • 6:14CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 8:03MTLTyler Toffoli · Hookingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 9:26CGYMikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 12:47MTLShea Weber · Roughingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 15:05MTLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 18:05CGYMikael Backlund · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 5:50CGYJosh Leivo · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 10:48MTLBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCGY goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 1st 3:34 — CGY 50% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.31T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.17B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.15T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.15J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMTL
2.41 G
All situations
0 G3.1
1.20 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY24%76%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/6
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
16
23
Hits
17
22
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC022+110.114305924:37
8C. TanevD000+110.01010—23:43
5M. GiordanoD000+130.10030—22:08
11M. BacklundC101+140.862145319:05
19M. TkachukL011+110.03300—18:40
55N. HanifinD000020.09000—18:28
4R. AnderssonD000010.01054—17:56
13J. GaudreauL101020.11000—17:22
23S. MonahanC000030.120102915:42
93S. BennettC000040.35410015:30
89N. NesterovD000010.02210—15:19
6J. VälimäkiD000010.00040—14:33
29D. DubeC000010.14200013:04
88A. MangiapaneL000020.11202—12:49
27J. LeivoL000020.11104—11:40
10D. RyanC000000.010107311:33
20J. NordstromC000020.15210010:00
17M. LucicL000020.03100—09:25
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)373701.0003.08+3.0859:56

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).