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Flames at Canadiens
NHL

Calgary Flames at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV SNW, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 10:07 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals were close — CGY 1.1, MTL 1.3; shots on goal were CGY 25, MTL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. David Rittich stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.7 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Drouin (2 A), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Drouin2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY090729225
MTLMTL2821102421

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(3)PPG
    C. Perry (1), J. Kotkaniemi (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:07
  2. MTL
    S. Weber(2)PPG
    J. Petry (6), J. Drouin (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    15:39

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(4)
    J. Kotkaniemi (4), J. Drouin (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:21
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(6)SHG
    N. Suzuki (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    19:35

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(2)
    S. Bennett (1), D. Ryan (1)
    wristxG 0.05
    1-4
    18:42
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(2)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (4), E. Lindholm (4)
    slapxG 0.07
    2-4
    19:37

Penalties

CGY 13 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 8:13CGYJuuso Välimäki · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 14:30CGYElias Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

2nd

  • 18:40MTLPaul Byron · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 19:54CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

3rd

  • 2:33MTLAlexander Romanov · Playing without a helmet2 min
  • 10:19MTLBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:19MTLBen Chiarot · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 10:19CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Ben Chiarot5 min
  • 15:44MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 15:44CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 18:42MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Delaying game bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCGY goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 1st 10:07 — MTL 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.18J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.17B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 1.3 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMTL
1.12 G
All situations
4 G1.3
0.81 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 1.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
21
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
2/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC011-230.202125821:08
8C. TanevD000010.02120—20:35
5M. GiordanoD000+130.04120—20:33
4R. AnderssonD101030.11022—20:10
55N. HanifinD000010.12010—18:48
19M. TkachukL000-110.05305—18:47
13J. GaudreauL011-130.13100—18:03
6J. VälimäkiD000-100.00132—17:56
23S. MonahanC000-100.090105017:52
27J. LeivoL000-120.08000—16:04
89N. NesterovD000-120.14110—16:03
11M. BacklundC000010.012105714:54
88A. MangiapaneL000010.01120—14:39
17M. LucicL101010.05602—12:37
81D. SimonC000010.0020010011:53
93S. BennettC011+100.00200011:24
20J. NordstromC000010.06300010:30
10D. RyanC011+110.010105609:48
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)21174.8101.29-2.7160:00

Season series

CGY leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).