Montréal Canadiens at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 5:38 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 25, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carey Price stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 A), 3. Dillon Dube.
Three stars
- ★S. Monahan2 G

- ★★M. Tkachuk1 A

- ★★★D. Dube

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-15:38
0-213:56
2nd period
0-37:20
1-314:20
Penalties
1st
- 1:19
Jonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 13:08
Brendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
2nd
- 8:33
Juuso Välimäki · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 13:26
Rasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 13:44
Brendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sean Monahan, 1st 5:38 — 54% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.2
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 16
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 10
- Giveaways
- 16
- 2
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
