Skip to content
Hurricanes at Lightning
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FinalTV BSSO, BSFL·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 7:48 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 36, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01331419436
TBLTBL0111709127

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(16)
    V. Trocheck (21), M. Necas (23)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:48
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(14)
    D. Hamilton (31), N. Niederreiter (13)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    2-0
    8:13
  3. CAR
    S. Lorentz(2)
    M. Geekie (2), C. Paquette (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    16:45
  4. TBL
    B. Point(20)
    O. Palat (26), R. McDonagh (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    17:03

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(3)EN
    S. Aho (23), J. Fast (12)
    wristxG 0.53
    4-1
    19:57

Penalties

CAR 9 PIM·TBL 11 PIM

1st

  • 14:06TBLOndrej Palat · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 15:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 20:00TBLMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 7:49CARJordan Martinook · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 7:49TBLBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Martinook5 min

3rd

  • 11:11TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 14:32CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCAR goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 2nd 7:48 — CAR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.20R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Point · On goal · xG 0.00O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL1 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsTBL
3.03 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsTBL
36
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
34
11
Blocked shots
13
0
Giveaways
3
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000030.04110—24:00
19D. HamiltonD011+340.27100—23:59
74J. SlavinD000+320.03010—23:49
20S. AhoC011020.302201919:34
51J. GardinerD000020.06000—18:35
58J. HakanpääD000000.00010—18:16
71J. FastR011000.00100—17:57
37A. SvechnikovR000-110.08314—17:15
11J. StaalC101+120.255005716:45
16V. TrocheckC011+120.091106016:29
88M. NecasC011+110.120106715:35
13W. FoegeleL000+140.34100—15:24
21N. NiederreiterR112+220.14200—15:18
48J. MartinookL101+130.72505—12:39
78S. LorentzC101+150.480105811:22
18C. PaquetteC011+110.07510010:36
67M. GeekieC011+100.00100009:55
76B. SkjeiD000020.05010—08:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)27261.9631.74+0.7460:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).