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Hurricanes at Lightning
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Final/OTTV BSSO, BSFL·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Yanni Gourde scoring at 2:50. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 2:50 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 27, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (1 G), 2. Alex Killorn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Killorn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR08181902227
TBLTBL191160813336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(12)
    T. Johnson (12), A. Cirelli (13)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:42

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(19)PPG
    O. Palat (25), V. Hedman (34)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    2:08
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(13)PPG
    D. Hamilton (30)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    10:03

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    1:08

Overtime

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(16)
    A. Killorn (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:50

Penalties

CAR 11 PIM·TBL 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:26CARNino Niederreiter · Elbowingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 3:26TBLBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 10:06TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 1:26CARVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:53TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

3rd

  • 6:48TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 8:11CARJake Gardiner · Fightingdrawn by Alex Killorn5 min
  • 8:11TBLAlex Killorn · Fightingdrawn by Jake Gardiner5 min
  • 8:11CARJake Gardiner · Roughingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCAR goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, OT 2:50 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.22B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.14P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.13D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Goal · xG 0.10A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsTBL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsTBL
27
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
30
Hits
32
14
Blocked shots
10
0
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-150.11110—24:04
76B. SkjeiD101+140.40200—23:56
19D. HamiltonD011-130.08320—23:52
22B. PesceD000000.00010—22:45
11J. StaalC000010.152005419:57
20S. AhoC000000.171105018:39
37A. SvechnikovR101030.38100—18:17
16V. TrocheckC000-130.201026017:39
13W. FoegeleL000010.08300—17:27
21N. NiederreiterR000020.13202—17:02
71J. FastR000+100.00220—15:08
88M. NecasC000-120.11100015:06
48J. MartinookL000020.36310—13:30
58J. HakanpääD000000.00420—13:15
51J. GardinerD000000.00017—12:55
78S. LorentzC000000.000102011:30
18C. PaquetteC000-110.07420009:48
67M. GeekieC000000.0200010009:18
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(O)36333.9173.45+0.4562:50

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).