Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Oilers answered. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 15:11 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were MTL 23, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jesse Puljujarvi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ethan Bear (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Puljujarvi1 G, 1 A

- ★★★E. Bear1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-06:46
3rd period
1-110:49
1-215:11
1-317:37
1-418:21
Penalties
1st
- 15:15
Darnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 17:58
Phillip Danault · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
2nd
- 9:09
Tomas Tatar · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
- 13:43
Leon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
- 17:33
Paul Byron · Interferencedrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
- 20:00
Tyler Toffoli · Cross checkingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 15:11 — 52% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 28
- Hits
- 39
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 11
- Giveaways
- 15
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
