Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 2:42. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 2:42 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 1.8, MTL 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 35, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.3 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Evans (1 G, 2 A), 2. Paul Byron (1 G, 1 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Evans1 G, 2 A

- ★★P. Byron1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Lehkonen1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-19:32
1-19:52
2-113:29
2nd period
2-25:56
3-29:26
3rd period
3-313:04
Overtime
4-32:42
Penalties
1st
- 3:38
Kailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
- 17:25
Joel Armia · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 3:43
James Neal · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 2:42 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.7
- 1.64 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 1.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 24
- Hits
- 21
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 15
- Giveaways
- 17
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
