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Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 34, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 34 (.912).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL16118110334
EDMEDM0120717126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:54

2nd period

  1. MTL
    S. Weber(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:49

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    12:15
  2. EDM
    D. Shore(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21
    3-1
    17:51

Penalties

MTL 14 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 13:30MTLPhillip Danault · Interferencedrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min
  • 15:05MTLJoel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 16:58MTLBen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:06MTLAlexander Romanov · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 7:18EDMAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 13:11EDMSlater Koekkoek · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 17:11MTLBrendan Gallagher · Boardingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 17:51EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

3rd

  • 4:17MTLShea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 8:55EDMAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 12:02MTLNick Suzuki · Trippingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 16:39EDMJoakim Nygard · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Shea Weber, 2nd 19:49 — MTL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.21A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.17T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.11D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.11J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.05K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.03K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
2.63 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G0.7
1.21 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL56%44%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
0/7
14
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD101-150.33302—24:55
8B. ChiarotD000010.02222—22:18
26J. PetryD011010.04110—21:36
44J. EdmundsonD000+120.05310—19:55
24P. DanaultC000+100.061125618:36
14N. SuzukiC011-110.202022917:44
27A. RomanovD101+130.11402—17:43
73T. ToffoliC011-120.21200016:03
90T. TatarL000010.04100—15:05
11B. GallagherR000050.62002—14:58
92J. DrouinL000-100.00100—14:18
17J. AndersonR000030.34310—13:30
41P. ByronL011+110.02010—13:11
62A. LehkonenL101+120.14100—12:52
40J. ArmiaR000+100.00112—11:59
15J. KotkaniemiC000050.444106711:45
77B. KulakD011+120.02100—10:01
71J. EvansC000+100.001004009:44
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)26251.9622.34+1.3459:39

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).