Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 2:19 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.0, EDM 3.2; shots on goal were MTL 36, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Carey Price stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carey Price (34 saves, .971), 2. Jeff Petry (2 G), 3. Tomas Tatar (2 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-06:50
2nd period
2-02:19
3-07:27
4-09:17
3rd period
5-09:47
5-112:59
Penalties
1st
- 6:15
Caleb Jones · Interferencedrawn by Paul Byron2 min
- 20:00
Shea Weber · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
2nd
- 7:49
Artturi Lehkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:41
Jonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
3rd
- 15:58
Darnell Nurse · Boardingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 2nd 2:19 — 63% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.05 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.5
- 0.51 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 3.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 34
- Hits
- 32
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 12
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 5-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
