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Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV ESPN+, SNW·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Eric Staal scoring at 4:02. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 4:02 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 23, MTL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Carey Price stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (1 G), 2. Corey Perry (1 A), 3. Shea Weber.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    E. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Perry1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Weber

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM151140301223
MTLMTL015072713332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:39

2nd period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:49

3rd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:45
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:23

Overtime

  1. MTL
    T. Toffoli (10), J. Petry (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:02

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 7:48MTLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Mike Smith2 min
  • 12:41EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 12:53MTLEric Staal · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 17:53MTLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

3rd

  • 13:54EDMJujhar Khaira · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:31MTLTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalEDM goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, OT 4:02 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.21J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.20T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.12P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.06P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.06A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMTL
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM45%55%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
32
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000-210.261005028:38
29L. DraisaitlC011-130.410003725:52
25D. NurseD101-230.07110—25:43
22T. BarrieD000-130.08000—25:24
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.222003323:59
6A. LarssonD000+100.02320—20:32
4K. RussellD000+100.00120—19:42
56K. YamamotoR000020.19110—17:31
13J. PuljujarviR011030.32402—16:41
74E. BearD000-120.10010—16:28
39A. ChiassonR000020.64200—13:30
14D. ShoreC101020.07310013:17
21D. KahunC000010.07000012:38
16J. KhairaL011+100.006221311:49
82C. JonesD000-100.00030—11:46
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.00200—09:46
44Z. KassianR000-100.00200—09:43
91G. HaasC000-100.00010005:07
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(O)32293.9062.72-0.2864:02

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).