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Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jani Hakanpää's goal at 8:55 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 28, CAR 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jani Hakanpää (1 G), 2. Jaccob Slavin (1 G), 3. Alex Nedeljkovic (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Hakanpää1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH07111010128
CARCAR12407217348

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(2)
    M. Geekie (1), S. Lorentz (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:18

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:36

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Hakanpää(1)
    V. Trocheck (20)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    8:55
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(12)EN
    S. Aho (22), D. Hamilton (29)
    snapxG 0.52win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:09

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:19NSHRyan Johansen · Cross checkingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 8:55NSHTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 14:49CARJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 18:29CARJake Bean · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jani Hakanpää, 3rd 8:55 — CAR 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.52C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.16S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.8 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
1.91 G
All situations
2 G4.8
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G3.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH17%83%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
48
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
28
20
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. EllisD000050.09130—25:46
14M. EkholmD000-100.01210—25:26
59R. JosiD101-130.36140—22:48
64M. GranlundC000-100.00210018:35
19C. JarnkrokC000000.0000010018:07
56E. HaulaL000030.332005016:17
5M. BenningD000-110.01040—16:14
10C. SissonsC000-110.171007916:06
44E. GudbransonD000-110.04300—15:40
92R. JohansenC000-100.104023315:36
11L. KuninC000020.23310015:21
33V. ArvidssonL000-130.0421010015:21
95M. DucheneC000-120.183005014:46
21N. CousinsC000020.16000012:45
13Y. TreninC000-120.02220012:39
17B. HarpurD000000.00110—12:39
84T. JeannotL000-110.01202—12:30
23R. GrimaldiR000020.17120—10:57
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)47452.9574.30+2.3058:27

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).