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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 3:46 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.3, NSH 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 24, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. James Reimer stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Pekka Rinne stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0717310424
NSHNSH012110111233

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(3)PPG
    D. Hamilton (2), S. Aho (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    16:05
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(3)
    V. Arvidsson (2), D. Fabbro (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    16:51

3rd period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:46
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(1)
    A. Svechnikov (2), J. Gardiner (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:39
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(1)PPG
    R. Johansen (1), M. Duchene (2)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    13:26
  4. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(2)EN
    V. Trocheck (1), J. Slavin (1)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:24

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:26CARWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 1:45NSHMatt Duchene · Hookingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 12:44CARVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 12:49NSHRyan Johansen · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 19:30CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

2nd

  • 15:09NSHFilip Forsberg · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 19:24NSHErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 7:26CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 13:16CARWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 3rd 3:46 — CAR 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.21R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.15R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.11R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR42%58%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
33
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011+100.04030—23:08
19D. HamiltonD011+100.08100—21:37
76B. SkjeiD000010.02102—21:04
22B. PesceD000-110.03010—20:46
16V. TrocheckC112+230.271122919:28
20S. AhoC112+130.290005018:57
37A. SvechnikovR112+120.11112—17:12
71J. FastR000-110.05220—17:04
13W. FoegeleL000060.47114—16:16
51J. GardinerD011+200.00000—15:38
4H. FleuryD000+120.02010—15:13
88M. NecasC000+200.00010015:08
48J. MartinookL000-110.120002513:53
23B. McGinnL000+110.08200—13:38
21N. NiederreiterR101+220.66100—13:00
18R. DzingelC000-100.00000012:16
86T. TeravainenC000010.05010009:08
67M. GeekieC000000.000002508:36
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)33312.9392.15+0.1559:48

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).