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Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 18:26 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 20, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.4 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH060618120
CARCAR1621419429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(9)
    J. Staal (18), N. Niederreiter (12)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:26

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(11)
    D. Hamilton (28), J. Slavin (11)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    0:14
  2. CAR
    V. Trocheck(17)
    B. Pesce (18), M. Necas (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    5:34

3rd period

  1. NSH
    E. Haula(5)SHG
    C. Sissons (5), B. Harpur (7)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    9:30
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(18)PPG
    V. Trocheck (19), A. Svechnikov (19)
    snapxG 0.14
    1-4
    17:22

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:54CARJake Bean · Boardingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 1:45NSHMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 16:04CARCedric Paquette · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 19:42CARJesper Fast · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 19:42NSHRyan Johansen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

2nd

  • 7:31CARJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 16:23CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 16:23NSHMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 5:32CARMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 8:32NSHMatt Benning · High stickingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 16:51NSHserved by N. Cousins · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 1st 18:26 — CAR 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.21J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.70 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH40%60%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
32
Hits
32
7
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-110.06220—26:12
4R. EllisD000010.02100—23:28
14M. EkholmD000010.01102—23:04
33V. ArvidssonL000000.0311010020:14
64M. GranlundC000-200.243023619:41
56E. HaulaL101+140.523003318:03
5M. BenningD000000.02302—16:46
92R. JohansenC000000.001027915:58
19C. JarnkrokC000-210.0500010015:00
11L. KuninC000-110.01010014:16
21N. CousinsC000020.291005013:50
38J. DaviesD000-210.27120—13:44
13Y. TreninC000-120.27200013:35
10C. SissonsC011010.043005713:26
17B. HarpurD011-110.00100—13:01
23R. GrimaldiR000020.09100—12:21
84T. JeannotL000-120.15700—11:07
16R. PitlickC000000.00110008:28
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)29254.8622.56-1.4459:34

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).