Skip to content
Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-CR, FS-TN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Jordan Staal scoring at 4:25. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 4:25 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 3.2, CAR 3.0; shots on goal were NSH 23, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (2 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH072130201223
CARCAR0152110811335

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Benning(1)
    E. Tolvanen (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:01
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(2)
    D. Fabbro (7), F. Forsberg (17)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:37
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(9)PPG
    S. Aho (14), V. Trocheck (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    14:58
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(10)PPG
    D. Hamilton (17), V. Trocheck (11)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    17:38

Overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(10)
    J. Slavin (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:25

Penalties

NSH 12 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:42NSHMathieu Olivier · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 8:26CARWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 12:41CARSebastian Aho · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

2nd

  • 6:17NSHMark Borowiecki · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 9:12CARMartin Necas · Trippingdrawn by Jeremy Davies2 min
  • 13:47NSHDante Fabbro · Elbowingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 15:39NSHJeremy Davies · Holdingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 17:25NSHMathieu Olivier · High sticking double minordrawn by Nino Niederreiter4 min
  • 19:39CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holdingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

3rd

  • 2:28CARWarren Foegele · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, OT 4:25 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.26V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
3.22 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH54%46%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
35
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/5
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
26
21
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+120.37130—28:50
57D. FabbroD011+100.02032—22:49
64M. GranlundC000010.431305721:48
92R. JohansenC101+110.381103620:48
9F. ForsbergL011+140.24210—20:12
33V. ArvidssonL000+110.41000—19:07
5M. BenningD101+110.01320—18:30
19C. JarnkrokC000-130.43000018:16
90M. BorowieckiD000+110.16122—17:47
45A. CarrierD000-120.14100—15:01
10C. SissonsC000+110.160005014:34
38J. DaviesD000030.08202—14:02
28E. TolvanenR011000.00310—14:00
15B. RichardsonR000010.030004013:40
16R. PitlickC000000.000003312:32
21N. CousinsC000+110.23000011:24
13Y. TreninC000000.00430009:46
25M. OlivierR000010.130263309:27
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(O)35323.9143.000.0064:25

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).