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Avalanche at Ducks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV ALT, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 6:35 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 37, ANA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 A), 2. Sam Carrick (1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Carrick1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL115112210437
ANAANA0701018125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(12)
    V. Nichushkin (10)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:46

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(16)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (34), M. Rantanen (25)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:35

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Drysdale(2)
    T. Terry (8), S. Carrick (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    12:37
  2. COL
    R. Graves(1)
    T. Jost (7), G. Landeskog (23)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    14:13
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(16)
    C. Makar (24), G. Landeskog (24)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    16:54

Penalties

COL 25 PIM·ANA 29 PIM

1st

  • 8:22ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 8:22COLLiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min

2nd

  • 1:26COLCale Makar · Interferencedrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 4:45ANANicolas Deslauriers · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 5:43ANAMax Jones · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:05ANATroy Terry · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 16:35COLNazem Kadri · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 16:35ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

3rd

  • 8:57COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 11:48ANAMax Jones · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 11:48COLTyson Jost · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 18:16ANASam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 18:16ANASam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 18:16ANASam Carrick · Misconductdrawn by Liam O'Brien10 min
  • 18:16COLLiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 18:16COLLiam O'Brien · Misconductdrawn by Sam Carrick10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 6:35 — COL 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.12M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.03S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
4.04 G
All situations
1 G2.2
3.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL78%22%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
37
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/2
25
Penalty minutes
29
20
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+230.33200—27:48
8C. MakarD011+110.09242—24:47
49S. GirardD000010.03110—24:01
29N. MacKinnonC112+170.512004520:59
27R. GravesD101+140.27230—20:53
96M. RantanenR011+230.37000—20:44
92G. LandeskogL123+220.321005620:00
13V. NichushkinR011010.18210—16:35
72J. DonskoiR000010.390005014:57
95A. BurakovskyL101+120.33000—14:50
91N. KadriC000+130.280024013:50
20B. SaadL000010.3400010013:06
17T. JostC011+120.140022512:45
37J. CompherL000-130.270024412:04
41P. BellemareL000000.003007110:24
67K. MiddletonD000010.03110—09:15
88K. BurroughsD000010.01110—09:02
38L. O'BrienC000010.113117005:44
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Johansson(W)25241.9602.20+1.2059:56

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).