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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-SD, PRIME·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Valeri Nichushkin scoring at 2:45. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 2:45 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 28, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 28 (.929).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA19190901228
COLCOL0102130912334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(5)
    R. Rakell (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:50

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:22
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(3)
    J. Donskoi (7), B. Saad (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:46
  3. COL
    B. Saad(7)
    T. Jost (2), D. Renouf (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:23

Overtime

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(4)
    D. Toews (6), B. Saad (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:45

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:49COLLogan O'Connor · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 16:31ANATroy Terry · Slashingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

2nd

  • 12:38ANACam Fowler · Holdingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 2:07COLTyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 15:59ANAMaxime Comtois · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, OT 2:45 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.43V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.22N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.15B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.7 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA32%68%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
34
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33J. SilfverbergR101+120.01010—21:41
4C. FowlerD000000.04002—20:34
28J. HakanpääD000+110.02410—19:15
67R. RakellR011040.150005018:58
14A. HenriqueC101040.350008718:56
42J. MansonD000-110.01750—18:46
49M. JonesL000020.10200—18:17
7B. HuttonD000-120.01010—17:13
15R. GetzlafC000010.020104717:11
61T. TerryR000010.06002—17:01
48I. LundestromC000-220.121003616:42
32J. LarssonD000-120.02030—15:53
22K. ShattenkirkD000+100.00200—14:49
53M. ComtoisL000010.13012—14:37
46T. ZegrasC000010.03010013:10
23S. SteelC000010.250007513:05
38D. GrantC000030.462102912:36
76J. MahuraD000-100.00010—12:26
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)34313.9122.71-0.2962:45

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).