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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
4
Colorado Avalanche
▸8
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-SD·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 8-4. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 1:01 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 22, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 28 of 35 (.800), 4.0 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 15 of 15 (1.000), 0.6 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA470708422
COLCOL210213413836

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(7)
    N. Kadri (14), S. Girard (16)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:01
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(5)
    T. Zegras (3), A. Henrique (5)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:16
  3. ANA
    D. Heinen(4)
    B. Hutton (2), A. Henrique (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    4:33
  4. COL
    N. Kadri(8)
    B. Saad (8), D. Toews (10)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    7:02
  5. ANA
    A. Henrique(7)
    T. Terry (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    15:59
  6. ANA
    D. Grant(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    19:42

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(14)
    G. Landeskog (11), D. Toews (11)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    11:25
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(9)
    A. Burakovsky (12), J. Donskoi (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    18:26

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(8)PPG
    D. Toews (12), M. Rantanen (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +24 pts
    4-5
    1:01
  2. COL
    S. Girard(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    4-6
    3:24
  3. COL
    P. Bellemare(2)EN
    N. Kadri (15), M. Calvert (2)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 pts
    4-7
    16:48
  4. COL
    B. Saad(10)PPG
    J. Donskoi (9), V. Nichushkin (5)
    wristxG 0.10
    4-8
    18:45

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:25ANAJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:42COLGabriel Landeskog · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Derek Grant0 min

2nd

  • 2:15COLGreg Pateryn · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 19:06ANACam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 6:35COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 10:28ANANicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 10:28COLNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 17:29ANAJani Hakanpää · High stickingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 1:01 — COL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.47A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.29P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.22A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
COL8 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.44 G
All situations
7 G3.5
0.84 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA21%79%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
36
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
21
24
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000030.09002—21:35
22K. ShattenkirkD000-220.06130—20:32
7B. HuttonD011-210.00130—20:02
15R. GetzlafC000-300.002205319:34
28J. HakanpääD000+110.02534—19:27
32J. LarssonD000-300.00020—18:39
46T. ZegrasC011+130.250005017:36
67R. RakellR000-410.07300—16:55
61T. TerryR112+120.09010—16:37
76J. MahuraD000010.01100—16:06
33J. SilfverbergR000010.08030—14:15
43D. HeinenL101+130.29120—14:09
49M. JonesL000-210.00200—13:28
38D. GrantC101010.280205913:22
48I. LundestromC000000.000005013:09
53M. ComtoisL000-300.00310—12:44
14A. HenriqueC123+120.130105012:39
20N. DeslauriersL000-100.00012—12:30
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)35287.8003.03-3.9759:30

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).