Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-4 in overtime, Ryan Getzlaf scoring at 1:59. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Getzlaf's goal at 1:59 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 27, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.9 goals below expected; Hunter Miska stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.6 goals below expected.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-05:10
2nd period
2-04:26
2-112:06
2-217:36
3rd period
2-36:03
2-46:27
3-413:03
4-417:10
Overtime
5-41:59
Penalties
2nd
- 9:42
Isac Lundeström · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
- 17:28
Jacob Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
- 19:55
Josh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
3rd
- 15:42
Andre Burakovsky · High stickingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
OT
- 0:51
Mikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Getzlaf, OT 1:59 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.45 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.1
- 1.13 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.4
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 2.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 2/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 25
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 3
- Giveaways
- 10
- 9
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 6-2
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
