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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ALT, KDOC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Jost's goal at 3:59 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 15, COL 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 43 of 48 (.896), 1.3 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA170216215
COLCOL112222214548

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(20)
    N. MacKinnon (27)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:56
  2. ANA
    D. Heinen(5)
    M. Comtois (11), B. Hutton (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:14

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(3)
    R. Graves (10), V. Nichushkin (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    3:59
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(12)PPG
    C. Makar (17), N. MacKinnon (28)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    16:20

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:19
  2. COL
    J. Compher(4)
    L. O'Connor (2), C. Makar (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    7:26
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(8)
    C. Makar (19), J. Donskoi (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    9:30

Penalties

ANA 31 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 7:03ANAMaxime Comtois · Broken stick2 min
  • 9:42ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 9:42COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 9:42COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 13:36ANAJakob Silfverberg · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 11:06ANAMaxime Comtois · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 12:14COLMikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 15:47ANAJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:32COLDan Renouf · Roughingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min
  • 18:32ANAJani Hakanpää · Roughingdrawn by Dan Renouf2 min

3rd

  • 9:33ANARyan Getzlaf · Fightingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare5 min
  • 9:33COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf5 min
  • 15:07ANANicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:07ANANicolas Deslauriers · Misconductdrawn by Nazem Kadri10 min
  • 15:21ANADerek Grant · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Jost, 2nd 3:59 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.15J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.14D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.7 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.42 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.02 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA15%85%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.38 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
15
Shots on goal
48
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/6
31
Penalty minutes
13
10
Hits
8
11
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000000.00100—22:05
61T. TerryR101+110.24000—21:36
22K. ShattenkirkD000+210.10100—19:33
34J. DrysdaleD000-300.00010—19:25
14A. HenriqueC000+120.100004616:30
48I. LundestromC000-110.050205016:24
53M. ComtoisL011010.14014—16:12
7B. HuttonD011-120.01000—15:55
15R. GetzlafC000-100.002175515:29
28J. HakanpääD000000.05212—15:01
38D. GrantC000-100.000025014:48
42J. MansonD000-200.00132—14:42
43D. HeinenL101-130.42000—14:35
20N. DeslauriersL000010.071212—14:33
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.06002—13:49
49M. JonesL000-200.09000—13:43
45A. WelinskiD000020.07100—13:37
26A. AgozzinoL000-100.001006009:30
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)48435.8963.66-1.3460:00

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).