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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 15:07 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were MIN 20, COL 55. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 50 of 55 (.909), 1.3 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 19 of 20 (.950).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN061707120
COLCOL225119211555

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(9)
    M. Rantanen (17), G. Landeskog (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:10
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(15)
    S. Girard (17), N. MacKinnon (18)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    19:02

2nd period

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(7)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    8:41
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(8)PPG
    M. Rantanen (18), N. MacKinnon (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:07

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(8)
    J. MacDonald (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:57
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(16)
    G. Landeskog (13), R. Graves (6)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    6:30

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:34MINJared Spurgeon · Holdingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min
  • 16:07COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

2nd

  • 7:17COLJoonas Donskoi · Slashingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 10:55COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 13:29MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 13:29MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 13:29COLBowen Byram · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

3rd

  • 15:19COLNathan MacKinnon · Elbowingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 15:07 — COL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.30J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.18D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.13D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.00M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.7 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
1.21 G
All situations
5 G3.7
0.90 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN13%87%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.24 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
55
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
9
12
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-120.02110—24:17
46J. SpurgeonD000-100.15032—23:00
25J. BrodinD000-340.08100—22:50
97K. KaprizovL000-110.01000—19:22
36M. ZuccarelloR011-120.07010—18:51
28I. ColeD000-200.00100—17:43
22K. FialaL000-110.06020—17:25
38R. HartmanR000-210.281102516:54
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.003206016:21
27N. BjugstadC000-110.021102515:54
49V. RaskC101-120.260005315:35
77B. HuntD000010.04000—15:22
7N. SturmC000-120.14000013:02
18J. GreenwayL000000.00104—12:24
24M. DumbaD000-100.00000—12:21
11Z. PariseL000-200.0000010012:20
13N. BoninoC000-120.100006312:11
41L. JohnsonC000-100.003105011:10
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)55505.9093.68-1.3260:00

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).