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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸6
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV FS-N+, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.5, COL 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 25, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.6 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1112539625
COLCOL010110112232

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(3)
    K. Kaprizov (10), V. Rask (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:44

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(2)
    S. Girard (9), D. Toews (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:21
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(3)
    M. Dumba (3), M. Foligno (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:31
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(4)SHG
    R. Hartman (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    15:11

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(5)PPG
    M. Rantanen (7), C. Makar (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    3:00
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(3)
    K. Kaprizov (11), M. Zuccarello (6)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    11:56
  3. MIN
    N. Sturm(1)
    N. Bjugstad (2), N. Bonino (3)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    12:59
  4. MIN
    N. Sturm(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13
    6-2
    17:32

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:01COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 1:19MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 4:44MINMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:59COLBowen Byram · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 13:18MINRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:57MINIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 12:31 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
2.55 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
32
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
13
22
Blocked shots
7
2
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD011+310.09130—24:42
25J. BrodinD000+310.04040—24:00
46J. SpurgeonD000+120.18230—21:05
20R. SuterD000+120.02122—20:21
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.291003817:22
18J. GreenwayL000000.01002—16:09
22K. FialaL000010.02000—16:09
17M. FolignoL112+220.20110—15:55
28I. ColeD000+100.00012—15:24
21C. SoucyD000+100.03110—15:19
97K. KaprizovL022+110.30000—15:18
11Z. PariseL101+220.1602010014:44
13N. BoninoC011+200.000204514:29
38R. HartmanR112+340.301006714:23
49V. RaskC011010.381005012:44
36M. ZuccarelloR112010.05012—12:41
27N. BjugstadC011+200.001106711:43
7N. SturmC202+240.47010011:18
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)32302.9382.64+0.6459:56

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).