Akron vs. Temple: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
AKRTeam statsTEM
- Q4 14:52TEMEdward Saydee 1 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (E.J. Warner Pass to David Martin-Robinson for Two-Point Conversion)21–24
- Q3 11:33TEMEdward Saydee 7 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)21–16
- Q2 0:00TEMCamden Price 40 Yd Field Goal 21–10
- Q2 1:37AKRMyles Walker 14 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Noah Perez Kick)21–7
- Q2 7:49AKRTahj Bullock 2 Yd Run (Noah Perez Kick)14–7
- Q2 14:14TEMQuincy Patterson 1 Yd Run (Camden Price Kick)7–7
- Q1 14:09AKRLorenzo Lingard 77 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Noah Perez Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassDJ Irons 17/29, 205 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushDrake Anderson 7 CAR, 40 YDS
- RecLorenzo Lingard 1 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
- PassE.J. Warner 28/49, 292 YDS, 2 TD
- RushDarvon Hubbard 10 CAR, 35 YDS
- RecDante Wright 7 REC, 71 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsAKR up 5 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,965 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 14:52TEM +38%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 1 yd for a TD (E.J. Warner pass to David Martin-Robinson for Two-Point Conversion)
- Q4 2:15TEM +30%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEM at AKR47 (team loss of 12)
- Q2 7:49AKR +22%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)
- Q2 14:14TEM +20%
Quincy Patterson 1 Yd Run (Camden Price Kick)
- Q1 14:09AKR +17%
DJ Irons pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 77 yds for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)
- Q3 11:33TEM +17%
Edward Saydee 7 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
FAQ
What was the final score of Akron vs. Temple?
Akron 21, Temple 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TEM) was correct.
| AKR | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 279 | Total yards | 353 |
| 205 | Passing yards | 292 |
| 74 | Rushing yards | 61 |
| 13 | First downs | 20 |
| 3-12 | 3rd down | 8-17 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 17/29 | Comp/Att | 28/49 |
| 7.1 | Yards per pass | 6.0 |
| 2.6 | Yards per rush | 2.2 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 10-82 | Penalties | 3-15 |
| 30:25 | Possession | 29:35 |
Costliest call
Q1 12:16 AKR punt on 4th & 7 at TEM 45. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.24 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 14:52TEMEdward Saydee 1 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (E.J. Warner Pass to David Martin-Robinson for Two-Point Conversion)21–24
- Q3 11:33TEMEdward Saydee 7 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)21–16
- Q2 0:00TEMCamden Price 40 Yd Field Goal 21–10
- Q2 1:37AKRMyles Walker 14 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Noah Perez Kick)21–7
- Q2 7:49AKRTahj Bullock 2 Yd Run (Noah Perez Kick)14–7
- Q2 14:14TEMQuincy Patterson 1 Yd Run (Camden Price Kick)7–7
- Q1 14:09AKRLorenzo Lingard 77 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Noah Perez Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEM Elo 1262, AKR Elo 1269 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEM -2.1 (57% to win) — 7.9 points clear of AKR's market line of -10. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2023
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesTemple leads 15–6 · Temple has won 7 straight · 24% have been one-possession games
| AKR | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| -19.9 (#124) | CORE overall | -24.0 (#130) |
| -17 / +3 | offense / defense | -14 / +10 |
| 1.27 | points / drive | 1.54 |
| 2.33 | allowed / drive | 3.40 |
| 36% | three-and-outs | 32% |
| +8 | pass over expected | +10 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →