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Wagner

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 14-16 · AdjEM -10.8, 294 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.8294 of 362
AdjO
94.6323 of 362
AdjD
105.3205 of 362
AdjT
64.4358 of 362

Wagner went from -10.1 (#296) on 2023-11-05 to -10.8 (#294) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -7.9 (#262) on 2023-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.1%349
TOV%
13.8%42
OREB%
27.0%162
FTA/FGA
26.2%339
Opp eFG%
49.0%87
Opp TOV%
15.3%222
DREB%
74.7%113
Opp FTA/FGA
30.0%116

Résumé14-16 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-9.1352 of 362
Non-conference
-2.8280 of 362
Luck
+0.6%159 of 362
Wins above bubble
-12.5248 of 362
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-0
Quad 3
3-3
Quad 4
11-10

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players11 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Melvin Council Jr.G3335.814.95.73.541.9%45.9%—26.5%74.8%
Javier EzquerraG3334.77.03.94.444.0%44.6%—31.9%56.5%
Julian BrownG3231.010.02.91.849.2%53.6%—36.1%85.1%
Keyontae LewisF3321.36.95.40.456.4%57.4%——61.1%
Tyje KeltonF3320.75.94.00.547.6%48.5%—35.2%60.9%
Seck ZongoF3015.23.53.30.548.7%52.9%—10.0%63.3%
Zaire WilliamsG924.79.32.11.245.8%49.3%—30.0%63.3%
Di'Andre Howell-SouthG1117.54.11.91.137.5%41.9%—14.3%75.0%
Rob Taylor IIF815.95.13.80.344.4%47.5%—0.0%60.0%
Rahmir MooreG330.38.73.02.038.0%45.1%—20.0%87.5%
Damien MazilG21.01.00.00.0100.0%100.0%———

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Wagner, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@FordhamQ3#173L 64-68-12.8
11-14@Rhode IslandQ3#239L 53-69-4.6
11-18@Seton HallQ1#51L 51-72-18.2
11-25vsNJITQ4#333W 64-51+9.4
11-28@ProvidenceQ1#49L 52-86-21.3
12-02@Stony BrookQ3#196W 60-59-4.2
12-06@Coppin StateQ4#360W 62-59+3.5
12-10vsBoston UniversityQ4#286L 59-73+1.4
12-17@FairfieldQ3#189L 51-63-8.7
12-30@ManhattanQ4#335W 68-56-5.0
01-04@Long Island UniversityQ4#353L 67-69+2.3
01-06vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#352W 71-56+6.5
01-15vsStonehillQ4#355W 64-54+9.0
01-19@MerrimackQ3#222W 71-65-9.3
01-21@Sacred HeartQ4#295L 61-66-5.0
01-25vsMerrimackQ4#222L 44-60-0.9
01-27@Central ConnecticutQ4#265L 68-69-5.8
02-01vsLe MoyneQ4#300W 80-57+2.7
02-03@StonehillQ4#355L 61-71+2.8
02-15@St. Francis (PA)Q4#352W 65-63+2.9
02-17vsSacred HeartQ4#295L 53-63+4.1
02-22vsCentral ConnecticutQ4#265L 72-73-0.2
02-25vsLong Island UniversityQ4#353W 72-57+9.9
02-29@Le MoyneQ4#300L 56-70-3.0
03-02vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#317L 54-57+4.7
03-06@Sacred HeartQ4#295W 60-57-4.8
03-09@Central ConnecticutQ4#265W 66-56-7.1
03-12@MerrimackQ3#222W 54-47-8.3
03-19nHowardQ4#262W 71-68-2.6
03-21nNorth CarolinaQ1#10L 62-90-24.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.