North Carolina Central

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MEAC · 10-19 · AdjEM -14.9, 321 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -14.9321 of 364
AdjO: 100.3248 of 364
AdjD: 115.2349 of 364
AdjT: 69.5191 of 364

North Carolina Central went from -8.9 (#276) on 2024-11-03 to -14.9 (#321) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -8.6 (#259) on 2024-11-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 50.1%219
TOV%: 18.0%309
OREB%: 32.6%47
FTA/FGA: 39.8%28
Opp eFG%: 54.8%338
Opp TOV%: 19.5%23
DREB%: 62.3%363
Opp FTA/FGA: 42.0%346

Résumé10-19 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -9.0345 of 364
Non-conference: -2.4262 of 364
Luck: -1.9%222 of 364
Wins above bubble: -16.4306 of 364

Quad 1: 0-1
Quad 2: 0-2
Quad 3: 1-3
Quad 4: 9-13

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Po'Boigh KingG	33	30.8	16.7	2.9	1.6	52.2%	56.2%	25.6%	33.6%	78.4%
Perry Smith Jr.C	33	28.1	11.4	6.0	0.5	61.9%	61.3%	19.3%	0.0%	55.2%
Keishon PorterG	33	25.3	10.8	3.3	1.1	54.4%	58.9%	20.0%	37.3%	72.2%
Timmy AdedireF	33	24.7	4.8	3.5	1.6	42.3%	45.9%	11.7%	32.3%	67.4%
Isaac ParsonG	31	20.1	7.7	1.9	4.2	44.9%	52.2%	22.6%	31.3%	81.4%
Dionte JohnsonG	32	19.2	6.0	2.4	3.8	43.5%	48.5%	20.6%	21.7%	74.6%
Jaqai MurrayF	32	16.6	6.0	4.5	0.8	51.7%	53.0%	19.7%	25.0%	55.6%
Floyd Rideau Jr.G	32	15.6	6.5	1.6	0.6	59.2%	61.0%	18.5%	41.9%	76.7%
Aquan SmartG	30	12.0	4.4	2.0	1.3	56.6%	57.9%	18.2%	51.4%	62.5%
Kelechi OkworogwoF	28	8.9	3.5	2.2	0.2	48.8%	51.1%	22.4%	33.3%	62.1%
Anthony Peoples Jr.F	8	12.1	5.0	2.4	0.5	53.1%	55.1%	19.6%	25.0%	66.7%
Josh SmithG	5	13.8	9.0	1.0	1.4	44.4%	52.2%	33.0%	37.5%	86.7%
Chris DanielsG	9	4.9	1.1	0.9	0.8	50.0%	44.2%	19.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Caleb EllisonG	5	3.8	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.0%	33.9%	12.6%	—	100.0%
Justin EdwardsG	1	10.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	19.3%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games10-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for North Carolina Central, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	@George Mason	Q2#81	L 58-75	-16.1	68	11-03
11-08	vsGardner-Webb	Q4#256	L 82-88	-1.2	71	11-04
11-12	@High Point	Q2#88	L 60-76	-15.6	71	11-11
11-15	nGeorgia Southern	Q4#254	L 75-80	-2.9	71	11-11
11-16	nWilliam & Mary	Q4#235	W 78-76	+4.6	70	11-11
11-17	@Winthrop	Q3#172	L 75-77	-9.2	70	11-11
11-22	@Georgia State	Q4#244	L 79-93	-5.5	70	11-18
12-05	vsRadford	Q4#176	L 67-70	-3.1	68	12-02
12-07	@Gardner-Webb	Q4#256	W 78-77	-12.2	71	12-02
12-10	@West Virginia	Q1#51	L 45-79	-21.2	70	12-09
12-14	@Longwood	Q3#215	W 77-70	-8.2	70	12-09
12-20	vsLongwood	Q4#215	L 67-82	-0.5	70	12-16
12-28	@North Carolina A&T	Q4#334	L 72-85	-1.2	71	12-23
01-04	@Coppin State	Q4#362	L 61-63	+6.9	69	12-30
01-07	@Morgan State	Q4#335	L 98-102	+1.7	71	01-06
01-11	vsMaryland Eastern Shore	Q4#360	W 88-69	+11.2	69	01-06
01-13	vsDelaware State	Q4#311	W 75-72	+3.5	71	01-06
01-25	vsSouth Carolina State	Q4#212	W 82-77	+0.1	70	01-20
02-03	@Norfolk State	Q3#205	L 78-81	-10.4	69	01-27
02-08	@Howard	Q4#303	L 78-82	-2.5	70	02-03
02-15	vsCoppin State	Q4#362	W 71-59	+14.3	70	02-10
02-17	vsMorgan State	Q4#335	L 78-92	+7.5	72	02-10
02-24	@Delaware State	Q4#311	L 84-86	-4.2	71	02-17
02-26	@Maryland Eastern Shore	Q4#360	L 59-68	+7.6	69	02-24
03-01	vsHoward	Q4#303	W 72-68	+2.9	70	02-24
03-03	vsNorfolk State	Q4#205	W 91-87	-3.5	69	02-24
03-06	@South Carolina State	Q3#212	L 71-87	-9.7	70	03-03
03-13	nDelaware State	Q4#311	W 79-77	-0.3	71	03-10
03-14	nSouth Carolina State	Q4#212	L 67-88	-6.9	70	03-10

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.