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North Carolina Central
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North Carolina Central

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MEAC · 12-15 · AdjEM -8.5, 289 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.5289 of 359
AdjO
94.7308 of 359
AdjD
103.2243 of 359
AdjT
70.5122 of 359

North Carolina Central went from -3.7 (#286) on 2021-11-15 to -8.5 (#289) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -2.9 (#245) on 2021-11-22.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 27 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.7%277
TOV%
22.4%356
OREB%
30.8%49
FTA/FGA
37.8%24
Opp eFG%
50.5%200
Opp TOV%
21.1%20
DREB%
71.4%269
Opp FTA/FGA
43.5%351

Résumé12-15 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-5.0326 of 359
Non-conference
+1.9132 of 359
Luck
+5.3%70 of 359
Wins above bubble
-9.4227 of 359
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
2-7
Quad 4
10-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Kris MonroeF3129.610.76.01.056.6%57.7%18.6%36.7%68.1%
Randy Miller Jr.G3128.410.82.11.344.3%50.1%21.8%34.2%76.8%
Eric BooneG2927.89.74.73.643.7%49.7%22.5%26.5%68.0%
Justin WrightG2826.513.74.32.054.1%58.4%25.4%40.7%73.8%
Marque MaultsbyG3119.96.52.91.248.9%50.6%18.2%32.9%65.7%
Nicolas FennellG2919.93.93.21.150.0%53.0%11.4%26.3%59.6%
Dontavius KingG2617.07.24.60.654.7%55.5%23.9%12.5%56.5%
Cameron ButlerF3012.33.43.60.064.1%61.0%14.9%—48.8%
Alex CaldwellG2413.35.01.21.449.1%50.1%22.0%38.0%56.0%
Ja'Darius HarrisG239.83.41.00.748.6%51.6%19.5%24.3%78.6%
Asanti PriceG1415.65.71.70.747.6%47.4%21.0%23.3%0.0%
Samuel KeitaF119.02.02.00.271.4%63.5%12.9%—28.6%
Timmy AdedireF92.80.70.40.137.5%37.5%15.6%——
Chris DanielsG73.00.60.70.920.0%33.6%20.7%—100.0%
Terrence CrawfordG53.41.80.60.056.3%56.3%22.9%50.0%—
Cameron BowlesG15.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for North Carolina Central, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@RichmondQ2#93L 60-70—
11-13@MemphisQ1#28L 51-90—
11-16@IowaQ1#13L 69-86-21.0
11-20@Alabama StateQ4#318L 74-80-14.7
11-29@Gardner-WebbQ3#148L 58-83-9.5
12-01@South Carolina UpstateQ4#259W 67-65-11.9
12-04@UNC AshevilleQ3#188L 66-82-10.1
12-06@The CitadelQ3#231L 67-80-17.6
12-15vsGardner-WebbQ3#148W 72-71+0.7
12-18nDelaware StateQ4#356W 86-53+5.5
12-21@UTEPQ3#157L 61-70-9.9
12-22nSam HoustonQ3#156L 51-68+1.1
01-22@Delaware StateQ4#356W 73-49+4.4
01-24@Maryland Eastern ShoreQ4#310W 75-63-8.4
01-29vsHowardQ4#224L 74-75-0.1
01-31vsNorfolk StateQ3#151W 70-67-0.8
02-05vsCoppin StateQ4#306W 69-68+5.8
02-07@South Carolina StateQ4#307L 68-74-1.5
02-12@Morgan StateQ4#294W 74-64+0.3
02-14@Coppin StateQ4#306W 77-74-3.1
02-19vsDelaware StateQ4#356W 84-79+14.5
02-21vsMaryland Eastern ShoreQ4#310L 66-79+5.7
02-26@HowardQ3#224L 67-77-7.7
02-28@Norfolk StateQ3#151L 46-75-9.7
03-03vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#307W 67-62+4.3
03-10nMaryland Eastern ShoreQ4#310W 68-56+0.1
03-11nCoppin StateQ4#306L 73-79+0.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.