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American University

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Patriot · 15-16 · AdjEM -8.5, 271 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.5271 of 362
AdjO
102.7198 of 362
AdjD
111.2328 of 362
AdjT
65.6352 of 362

American University went from -4.7 (#221) on 2023-11-05 to -8.5 (#271) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -4.7 (#221) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.5%81
TOV%
15.8%167
OREB%
26.0%197
FTA/FGA
28.4%299
Opp eFG%
53.4%320
Opp TOV%
16.0%170
DREB%
75.4%82
Opp FTA/FGA
29.8%110

Résumé15-16 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-9.3354 of 362
Non-conference
-6.5345 of 362
Luck
-4.1%273 of 362
Wins above bubble
-12.7254 of 362
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
1-1
Quad 3
0-3
Quad 4
14-10

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Lorenzo DonadioG3229.09.34.22.351.0%52.4%20.6%33.3%62.5%
Lincoln BallG3228.64.86.32.139.9%45.4%11.6%22.9%67.7%
Elijah StephensG2930.112.12.14.951.6%55.8%24.7%33.0%82.3%
Matt RogersF3128.216.36.21.656.6%59.1%31.6%36.8%73.1%
Matt MayockF2825.18.62.41.062.1%63.0%16.7%42.3%71.4%
Geoff SprouseG2621.28.82.31.456.5%59.4%21.7%38.0%87.9%
Greg JonesF3216.82.92.30.643.9%49.0%11.6%27.8%77.8%
Colin SmallsG2319.35.31.70.753.6%56.0%16.2%31.1%73.9%
Jermaine Ballisager WebbC2213.17.43.80.458.1%59.8%31.5%—62.5%
Adrian SamuelsG1110.01.31.10.343.3%42.6%9.9%42.9%33.3%
Chris GleatonG108.31.91.00.343.3%49.3%16.5%33.3%66.7%
Noah JonesF184.30.40.70.350.0%50.0%5.1%100.0%—
Mason WhittakerF85.10.00.40.00.0%0.0%13.7%0.0%—
Gibraltar ColemanF42.30.80.00.030.0%30.0%31.3%25.0%—
Alex DanielsG31.00.00.00.0——18.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for American University, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@VillanovaQ1#30L 63-90-19.1
11-09@William & MaryQ4#324L 56-75+0.8
11-13vsSienaQ4#354W 78-58+4.5
11-16vsNJITQ4#333W 87-73+14.3
11-19@GeorgetownQ3#187L 83-88-6.5
11-22vsMount St. Mary'sQ4#224W 68-65+4.0
11-29@HarvardQ3#200L 75-80-12.9
12-02vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#352L 73-75+13.8
12-06@Saint Joseph'sQ2#94L 53-69-17.1
12-09@VMIQ4#357W 77-69-0.7
12-21@Virginia TechQ1#57L 55-77-18.9
12-29@UMBCQ4#283W 87-85-0.8
01-03vsLehighQ4#249W 75-66+2.5
01-06@BucknellQ4#264W 71-63-2.5
01-10@Boston UniversityQ4#286L 66-72-1.9
01-13vsArmyQ4#334W 79-60+8.0
01-15@Loyola MarylandQ4#339W 66-52+2.1
01-20@LehighQ4#249L 68-70-1.6
01-24vsHoly CrossQ4#349W 84-65+14.1
01-27vsColgateQ3#121L 54-73-2.8
01-31@LafayetteQ4#305W 69-66-0.6
02-03vsBucknellQ4#264W 75-66+4.5
02-07vsLoyola MarylandQ4#339L 43-44+11.4
02-10@Holy CrossQ4#349L 56-58+6.7
02-14@NavyQ4#308W 59-42+0.6
02-17vsLafayetteQ4#305L 62-68+5.3
02-21vsBoston UniversityQ4#286L 52-67+5.6
02-25@ColgateQ2#121W 66-64-11.9
02-28@ArmyQ4#334W 73-51+1.6
03-02vsNavyQ4#308L 65-71+7.5
03-07vsBucknellQ4#264L 57-80+4.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.