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North Dakota

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Summit · 11-20 · AdjEM -11.1, 301 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-11.1301 of 363
AdjO
99.2236 of 363
AdjD
110.3333 of 363
AdjT
69.2194 of 363

North Dakota went from -15.6 (#349) on 2022-11-06 to -11.1 (#301) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -10.9 (#299) on 2023-03-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.0%154
TOV%
15.9%83
OREB%
23.9%257
FTA/FGA
27.3%309
Opp eFG%
53.5%314
Opp TOV%
14.5%326
DREB%
74.2%146
Opp FTA/FGA
28.0%93

Résumé11-20 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-3.4256 of 363
Non-conference
+0.0192 of 363
Luck
+1.1%146 of 363
Wins above bubble
-14.6299 of 363
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
1-7
Quad 4
10-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
BJ OmotF3331.712.03.71.446.2%50.9%21.3%30.1%74.2%
Tsotne TsartsidzeF3327.010.95.61.354.4%55.7%22.0%34.6%67.3%
Brady DanielsonF3326.37.83.81.058.5%60.7%13.6%35.8%74.0%
Matt NormanG3325.511.42.41.459.5%61.9%21.7%42.4%84.6%
Jalun TrentG3322.56.44.22.446.5%48.6%19.0%23.3%53.8%
Treysen EaglestaffF3319.58.42.51.751.6%51.5%25.3%37.5%48.0%
Elijah BrooksG2714.44.92.50.663.4%64.7%17.1%22.2%66.7%
Mitchell SuekerF2910.84.81.80.449.2%52.1%25.3%27.0%73.3%
A'Jahni LeviasF2412.44.12.10.749.4%51.5%20.8%32.6%68.4%
Brian MathewsF289.31.92.80.443.5%46.2%14.2%—54.2%
Caleb NeroG1613.44.81.51.140.5%45.8%23.1%31.8%84.2%
Reid GrantG188.10.40.91.026.9%26.9%8.6%16.7%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games11-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for North Dakota, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@Incarnate WordQ4#351W 65-57-1.3
11-10@CreightonQ1#12L 61-96-18.7
11-15vsPacificQ4#210L 63-93-2.1
11-17@ElonQ4#331W 77-73-4.5
11-20vsMontana StateQ3#116L 71-81-12.5
11-25vsUtah TechQ4#174W 67-52-4.7
11-27vsCal State FullertonQ3#128W 73-57-10.0
11-30@Iowa StateQ1#27L 44-63-24.0
12-03@PortlandQ3#148L 69-90-19.3
12-06@IdahoQ4#320L 66-76-6.0
12-10vsSeattle UQ3#153L 78-80-8.6
12-19@St. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#226L 62-75-10.2
12-30vsNorth Dakota StateQ4#220L 49-71+1.7
01-05vsSouth DakotaQ4#311L 60-62+1.6
01-07vsSouth Dakota StateQ3#159L 59-60-5.0
01-12@OmahaQ4#326L 63-69-5.7
01-14@DenverQ4#300L 71-78-7.7
01-19vsKansas CityQ4#313W 77-60-2.7
01-21vsOral RobertsQ2#68L 72-84-13.3
01-23@Western IllinoisQ4#265L 80-92-9.1
01-27@North Dakota StateQ3#220L 75-91-9.2
02-02@South Dakota StateQ3#159L 73-96-13.6
02-04@South DakotaQ4#311W 86-72-4.4
02-09vsDenverQ4#300W 86-63+1.3
02-11vsOmahaQ4#326W 76-73+3.5
02-16@Oral RobertsQ1#68L 70-73-22.1
02-18@Kansas CityQ4#313W 81-73-6.8
02-23vsWestern IllinoisQ4#265L 70-81+1.8
02-25vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ4#226W 82-74-1.2
03-03nDenverQ4#300W 83-68-1.0
03-04nOral RobertsQ2#68L 80-96-16.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.