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North Dakota State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Summit · 14-17 · AdjEM -4.2, 220 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.2220 of 363
AdjO
100.7201 of 363
AdjD
104.9245 of 363
AdjT
69.7166 of 363

North Dakota State went from -1.8 (#206) on 2022-11-06 to -4.2 (#220) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -1.6 (#197) on 2022-11-07.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.7%111
TOV%
16.3%108
OREB%
22.9%287
FTA/FGA
32.2%146
Opp eFG%
50.8%196
Opp TOV%
12.0%363
DREB%
78.6%13
Opp FTA/FGA
27.1%65

Résumé14-17 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-2.3217 of 363
Non-conference
+4.859 of 363
Luck
-1.2%214 of 363
Wins above bubble
-10.6226 of 363
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-5
Quad 3
3-2
Quad 4
11-7

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Boden SkunbergG3231.615.15.31.553.1%57.4%23.7%39.5%86.3%
Grant NelsonF3030.617.99.32.155.4%58.7%29.9%26.9%72.0%
Damari Wheeler-ThomasG3225.27.12.01.645.2%51.8%16.9%30.0%85.3%
Tajavis MillerG3026.17.93.31.848.8%51.1%18.0%35.9%68.8%
Andrew MorganF3221.610.55.31.259.3%59.0%26.3%33.3%54.9%
Jacari WhiteG3121.97.51.91.149.8%51.4%19.2%35.9%67.6%
Joshua StreitF3316.61.83.10.571.8%65.7%5.2%—28.6%
Lance WaddlesG2913.83.81.80.738.4%39.7%19.8%27.8%66.7%
Sam HastreiterF2913.73.72.50.365.3%66.2%12.3%43.6%70.6%
Luke YoderG2116.63.51.71.640.2%46.9%13.6%19.4%77.8%
Tay SmithG427.311.55.80.840.0%40.4%28.6%31.3%50.0%
Ryan SlettenG91.90.30.40.120.0%25.2%21.0%0.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for North Dakota State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@ArkansasQ1#14L 58-76-14.7
11-10@KansasQ1#10L 59-82-16.4
11-13vsPacificQ4#210L 86-91+8.4
11-17@Indiana StateQ2#91L 75-101-7.0
11-25nNorthern ColoradoQ4#252L 70-80+4.3
11-26@New MexicoQ2#80L 55-76-12.6
11-27nJacksonville StateQ4#239L 71-81-0.5
12-03@Eastern WashingtonQ2#134L 70-78-8.5
12-05@PortlandQ3#148W 67-62-16.5
12-10vsMontanaQ4#183L 75-82+6.2
12-19@Western IllinoisQ4#265L 60-79-3.9
12-21@St. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#226L 68-78-7.5
12-30@North DakotaQ4#301W 71-49-1.7
01-05vsSouth Dakota StateQ3#159W 65-59+0.3
01-07vsSouth DakotaQ4#311W 73-61+6.9
01-12@DenverQ4#300W 90-70-2.2
01-14@OmahaQ4#326W 78-65-0.1
01-19vsOral RobertsQ2#68L 69-92-6.0
01-21vsKansas CityQ4#313L 73-75+4.5
01-27vsNorth DakotaQ4#301W 91-75+9.2
02-02@South DakotaQ4#311L 62-71+2.0
02-04@South Dakota StateQ3#159L 85-90-7.3
02-09vsOmahaQ4#326W 84-58+9.1
02-11vsDenverQ4#300W 78-70+7.0
02-16@Kansas CityQ4#313W 69-58-1.1
02-18@Oral RobertsQ1#68L 66-74-16.3
02-23vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ4#226W 73-64+4.4
02-25vsWestern IllinoisQ4#265W 71-69+7.4
03-05nSouth DakotaQ4#311W 70-68+5.9
03-06nSouth Dakota StateQ3#159W 89-79-3.4
03-07nOral RobertsQ2#68L 58-92-10.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.