#2Sean Tyler

RB·Western Michigan·20212.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Sean Tyler is a Explosive Back for Western Michigan. Sean's 2021 season ranks in the 45th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 187 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Sean Tyler's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Rushing

1150 Rush yards9 Rush TD178 Carries6.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

14 Receptions114 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.1 Yards/rec

Returns

11 Kick returns322 KR yards2 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs RB peers

Efficiency45
Volume58
Explosiveness70
Consistency70
Receiving30

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)45th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.36 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Toledo (SP+ 7).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Michigan	L14-47	23.4	10	55	5.5	0	2	13	0	-0.02
2	vsIllinois State	W28-0	—	15	78	5.2	1	1	30	0	0.30
3	@Pittsburgh	W44-41	17.6	14	84	6.0	1	3	11	1	0.08
4	vsSan José State	W23-3	-1.9	12	65	5.4	0	2	8	0	0.06
5	@Buffalo	W24-17	-9.5	14	80	5.7	0	—	—	—	0.30
6	vsBall State	L20-45	-11.2	14	52	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.05
7	vsKent State	W64-31	-6.4	17	169	9.9	1	—	—	—	0.57
8	@Toledo	L15-34	6.9	10	48	4.8	1	2	16	0	0.93
10	vsCentral Michigan	L30-42	-1.0	15	59	3.9	2	—	—	—	0.40
11	vsAkron	W45-40	-23.1	16	147	9.2	1	2	25	1	0.89
12	@Eastern Michigan	L21-22	-7.8	10	52	5.2	1	1	4	0	0.02
13	@Northern Illinois	W42-21	-7.1	17	115	6.8	1	—	—	—	0.14
1	vsNevada	W52-24	3.6	14	146	10.4	0	1	7	0	0.46

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.4%

Passing plays

3.4%

Rushing plays

32.3%

Standard downs

22.0%

Passing downs

15.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.25
Passing downs: 0.70
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.58 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.