#3Darrynton Evans

RB·App State·20193.4 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Darrynton Evans is a Featured Back for App State. Darrynton's 2019 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 277 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Darrynton Evans's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Rushing

1479 Rush yards18 Rush TD255 Carries5.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

21 Receptions198 Rec yards5 Rec TD9.4 Yards/rec

Returns

17 Kick returns386 KR yards1 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs RB peers

Efficiency55
Volume82
Explosiveness56
Consistency65
Receiving46

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)55th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Charlotte (SP+ -6).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsEast Tennessee State	W42-7	—	14	99	7.1	1	2	21	0	0.45
2	vsCharlotte	W56-41	-6.3	19	234	12.3	3	1	0	0	0.80
4	@North Carolina	W34-31	10.3	19	78	4.1	3	—	—	—	0.15
5	vsCoastal Carolina	W56-37	-12.8	15	60	4.0	2	1	-2	0	0.19
7	@Louisiana	W17-7	9.6	22	69	3.1	0	—	—	—	-0.17
8	vsUL Monroe	W52-7	-10.7	17	136	8.0	1	3	41	1	0.49
9	@South Alabama	W30-3	-20.3	19	46	2.4	0	1	3	0	-0.01
10	vsGeorgia Southern	L21-24	-4.5	17	76	4.5	0	2	7	0	-0.15
11	@South Carolina	W20-15	4.8	23	85	3.7	0	2	32	0	0.04
12	@Georgia State	W56-27	-10.5	18	131	7.3	1	1	1	1	0.36
13	vsTexas State	W35-13	-16.2	21	154	7.3	3	—	—	—	0.51
14	@Troy	W48-13	-4.4	13	82	6.3	2	3	27	1	0.42
15	vsLouisiana	W45-38	9.6	19	73	3.8	1	2	63	2	0.63
1	vsUAB	W31-17	-1.4	19	156	8.2	1	3	5	0	-0.09

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

28.8%

Passing plays

7.3%

Rushing plays

43.7%

Standard downs

32.8%

Passing downs

20.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.49
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.52 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.