#23Cam'Ron Harris

RB·Miami·20202.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Cam'Ron Harris is a Explosive Back for Miami. Cam'Ron's 2020 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 141 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Cam'Ron Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Rushing

643 Rush yards10 Rush TD126 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

18 Receptions131 Rec yards1 Rec TD7.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs RB peers

Efficiency53
Volume53
Explosiveness42
Consistency38
Receiving51

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency38th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Oklahoma State (SP+ 14).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
2	vsUAB	W31-14	6.3	17	134	7.9	2	4	10	0	0.19
3	@Louisville	W47-34	6.5	9	134	14.9	1	1	4	0	0.57
4	vsFlorida State	W52-10	-4.9	12	43	3.6	2	4	20	0	0.52
6	@Clemson	L17-42	26.1	8	3	0.4	0	1	6	0	-0.38
7	vsPittsburgh	W31-19	6.0	12	24	2.0	0	1	35	1	-0.09
8	vsVirginia	W19-14	0.9	8	8	1.0	0	—	—	—	0.05
10	@NC State	W44-41	0.0	15	62	4.1	0	2	12	0	0.07
11	@Virginia Tech	W25-24	13.7	14	63	4.5	1	—	—	—	0.18
14	@Duke	W48-0	-4.2	15	96	6.4	2	2	7	0	0.30
15	vsNorth Carolina	L26-62	18.0	10	24	2.4	1	1	-1	0	-0.34
1	vsOklahoma State	L34-37	14.2	6	52	8.7	1	2	38	0	0.80

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

18.6%

Passing plays

5.2%

Rushing plays

32.7%

Standard downs

21.2%

Passing downs

13.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.10
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.11 / 0.19

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2020 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.