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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV TBS, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 4:46. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 4:46 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 42, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 2 A), 3. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT11121801102342
NYRNYR181121713430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:36
  2. PIT
    D. Heinen(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    18:51

2nd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    10:18
  2. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    11:23
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    17:24

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:15

Overtime

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +48 pts
    3-4
    4:46

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 11:05NYRArtemi Panarin · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 15:47NYRRyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 15:47PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 16:28NYRJacob Trouba · High sticking double minordrawn by Mike Matheson4 min

2nd

  • 3:08PITMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 9:43NYRKaapo Kakko · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:24PITBryan Rust · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 8:08NYRArtemi Panarin · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 9:28PITJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

OT

  • 2:55PITBrock McGinn · Holdingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 4:46 — NYR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.27C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.19M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.15A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.09K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.04R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
3.43 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.10 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT68%32%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
14
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
4
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-120.19140—29:08
6J. MarinoD000-210.01040—26:45
5M. MathesonD000-120.04002—24:41
28M. PetterssonD000010.25010—23:28
87S. CrosbyC011040.401104319:54
59J. GuentzelC101050.54010019:06
17B. RustR011040.57014—18:15
53T. BluegerC000-120.142005717:34
71E. MalkinC000010.041006016:39
23B. McGinnL000-130.20112—16:18
9E. RodriguesC112050.430102016:06
77J. CarterC011-120.051026415:56
67R. RakellR000040.20100—14:24
43D. HeinenL101-230.30110—12:47
16J. ZuckerL000-210.01320—12:21
42K. KapanenR000010.02100—11:35
2C. RuhwedelD000000.00130—11:19
52M. FriedmanD000010.02000—07:38
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)30264.8672.25-1.7564:46

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).