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Penguins at Rangers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 18:06 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 25% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 32, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (1 G), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Lindgren (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    F. Chytil1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Lindgren1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11027015332
NYRNYR011312211534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(6)
    B. Rust (5), M. Matheson (5)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:28

2nd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(1)
    E. Malkin (2), J. Zucker (2)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:58
  2. NYR
    A. Fox(3)
    A. Copp (1), R. Strome (3)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:11
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(2)
    K. Kakko (1), J. Trouba (2)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:41
  4. NYR
    J. Trouba(1)
    A. Panarin (4), K. Miller (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:53
  5. PIT
    J. Guentzel(7)
    E. Malkin (3)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    18:06

3rd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(1)PPG
    A. Lafrenière (2), F. Vatrano (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    2:53
  2. NYR
    R. Lindgren(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:44

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:24NYRChris Kreider · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 0:24NYRJacob Trouba · Elbowingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

3rd

  • 1:08PITMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 6:57NYRRyan Strome · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
  • 8:39PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 8:39PITJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 8:39NYRRyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:38PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 18:06 — PIT 25% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.34A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.22R. Lindgren · Goal · xG 0.18A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.15A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.15R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.13R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.12J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.10J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
3.63 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT59%41%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
34
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
32
19
Blocked shots
12
28
Giveaways
34
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD101050.32130—27:42
5M. MathesonD011020.05310—23:05
6J. MarinoD000010.05110—22:43
17B. RustR011-100.01200—21:41
59J. GuentzelC202060.98002019:25
28M. PetterssonD000000.01352—19:09
71E. MalkinC022020.290346718:33
77J. CarterC000-310.132107617:09
23B. McGinnL000+130.32100—15:36
53T. BluegerC000000.003007514:27
9E. RodriguesC000-150.6401010013:47
42K. KapanenR000-110.12110—13:29
2C. RuhwedelD000-110.02020—12:44
43D. HeinenL000-120.20300—12:34
16J. ZuckerL011+110.19300—11:21
11B. BoyleC000-110.05100011:19
87S. CrosbyC000+100.000005010:49
52M. FriedmanD000010.20010—09:50
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)33294.8792.98-1.0258:52

Series

NYR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).