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Rangers at Penguins
NHL

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV ESPN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 7-2. The Rangers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 3:14 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.2 to 1.2; shots on goal were NYR 24, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 2.9 goals below expected; Louis Domingue stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Louis Domingue (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    L. Domingue22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1811105224
PITPIT114516111741

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(1)
    B. Schneider (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:06
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(2)PPG
    J. Guentzel (1), K. Letang (2)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    11:17

2nd period

  1. PIT
    M. Matheson(1)
    S. Crosby (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:14
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(5)
    B. Rust (4), S. Crosby (7)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:38
  3. PIT
    M. Friedman(1)
    T. Blueger (1), B. Boyle (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:22
  4. NYR
    A. Fox(2)
    A. Panarin (3), M. Zibanejad (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    14:04
  5. PIT
    D. Heinen(2)
    K. Letang (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    18:53
  6. PIT
    J. Carter(3)
    J. Zucker (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    19:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(2)
    K. Kapanen (2)
    backhandxG 0.15
    2-7
    12:22

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:37NYRPatrik Nemeth · High stickingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 15:38PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 2:53NYRChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 13:20NYRJonny Brodzinski · Cross checkingdrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 2nd 3:14 — PIT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.44S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.37J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.13J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.13D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.13B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10M. Friedman · Goal · xG 0.10B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.00J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 4.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
1.22 G
All situations
7 G4.2
1.02 G
Even strength
6 G3.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR9%91%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.21 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
24
Shots on goal
41
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
49
Hits
54
10
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-300.00600—21:54
8J. TroubaD000-120.05610—21:45
23A. FoxD101-330.16100—21:29
16R. StromeC000-220.174002919:28
10A. PanarinL011000.01010—18:25
61J. BraunD000-100.01020—18:12
12P. NemethD000010.02022—18:07
93M. ZibanejadC011-220.083204517:42
18A. CoppC000-100.044003817:35
45B. SchneiderD011010.07120—16:57
20C. KreiderL000-210.01302—15:43
13A. LafrenièreL101-120.10300—15:39
77F. VatranoR000-320.01400—13:57
24K. KakkoR000030.23000—13:14
72F. ChytilC000010.032002012:42
17K. RooneyC000-110.01400012:01
76J. BrodzinskiC000010.163025710:39
75R. ReavesR000020.06500—09:58
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)30246.8003.06-2.9439:53
40A. Georgiev11101.9091.14+0.1420:00

Series

NYR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).