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Rangers at Penguins
NHL

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
4
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV TNT, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 7-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 11:02 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.2 to 4.0; shots on goal were NYR 36, PIT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Louis Domingue stopped 32 of 36 (.889). Three stars: 1. Danton Heinen (1 G), 2. Evan Rodrigues (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Carter (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    D. Heinen1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Rodrigues2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Carter2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11031709436
PITPIT41507315737

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. McGinn(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:57
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(1)
    A. Lafrenière (1), F. Chytil (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:08
  3. PIT
    J. Carter(1)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (1), M. Matheson (2)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    8:18
  4. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(1)PPG
    M. Matheson (3), L. Domingue (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    10:31
  5. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(2)
    B. Boyle (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    15:15

2nd period

  1. NYR
    F. Vatrano(2)
    C. Kreider (2), M. Zibanejad (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    6:51
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(2)
    A. Fox (2), R. Strome (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    7:58
  3. NYR
    A. Copp(3)SHG
    K. Rooney (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    4-4
    15:59

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. Heinen(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +32 pts
    4-5
    11:02
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(4)EN
    S. Crosby (4), M. Matheson (4)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +7 pts
    4-6
    17:46
  3. PIT
    J. Carter(2)EN
    S. Crosby (5), B. McGinn (1)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    4-7
    18:53

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:29NYRJustin Braun · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 8:58NYRAndrew Copp · High stickingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 15:14NYRBraden Schneider · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 18:35PITDanton Heinen · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 2:19PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 6:29PITDanton Heinen · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 3rd 11:02 — PIT 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.90B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.64J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.45B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.44J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.20B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.15E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.14E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.10M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.04T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 5.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
4.04 G
All situations
5 G5.2
3.13 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR62%38%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
36
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
33
9
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+120.08000—27:16
10A. PanarinL101-150.65000—21:40
8J. TroubaD000+130.03710—21:06
79K. MillerD000+110.02300—20:23
93M. ZibanejadC011-120.320003020:16
18A. CoppC101+130.441125020:15
16R. StromeC011050.561103320:04
20C. KreiderL011-130.04500—19:22
61J. BraunD000+100.07112—17:13
12P. NemethD000-300.00300—14:27
77F. VatranoR101040.44320—14:12
45B. SchneiderD000-210.30212—13:47
17K. RooneyC011020.282204213:21
13A. LafrenièreL011-110.42200—13:00
72F. ChytilC011-110.141006712:51
24K. KakkoR101-130.25000—11:53
29D. HuntL000-100.00200—07:52
75R. ReavesR000-100.00100—06:43
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)20191.9502.25+1.2538:57
31I. Shesterkin15114.7330.99-3.0120:00

Series

NYR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).