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Rangers at Penguins
NHL

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV TNT, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 18:32 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 38, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.8 goals below expected; Louis Domingue stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (2 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 2 A), 3. Evgeni Malkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01231828538
PITPIT21311308334

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(4)
    K. Kapanen (3), M. Pettersson (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:12
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(2)
    J. Guentzel (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:48

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(1)PPG
    R. Strome (4), A. Fox (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    5:05
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(2)
    A. Fox (4), R. Lindgren (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:21
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(3)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (5), I. Shesterkin (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    13:48
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    16:36

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(4)
    M. Zibanejad (6), A. Fox (5)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +45 pts
    4-3
    18:32
  2. NYR
    A. Copp(4)EN
    K. Rooney (2), A. Fox (6)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:33

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:33NYRKevin Rooney · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

2nd

  • 5:00PITEvan Rodrigues · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 8:01NYRMika Zibanejad · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:54NYRKevin Rooney · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 12:57PITMike Matheson · High sticking double minordrawn by Frank Vatrano4 min
  • 16:57PITJason Zucker · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 16:57NYRFrank Vatrano · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 18:32 — NYR 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.22J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.16E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT3 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR56%44%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
12
3
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-110.04020—25:50
23A. FoxD044+110.07120—24:46
8J. TroubaD000-120.07320—24:20
55R. LindgrenD011030.04110—22:08
18A. CoppC101031.030003120:15
10A. PanarinL000-130.36100—19:52
16R. StromeC011030.253004019:39
20C. KreiderL202+260.53100—19:26
93M. ZibanejadC224+260.661224119:06
72F. ChytilC000-210.010006313:45
13A. LafrenièreL000-210.06210—13:37
77F. VatranoR000+120.01312—12:26
24K. KakkoR000-230.18110—12:25
61J. BraunD000000.00030—10:09
45B. SchneiderD000+100.00000—09:54
64T. MotteC000+110.01200009:32
17K. RooneyC011+110.130145008:25
75R. ReavesR000010.06200—06:25
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)34313.9122.23-0.7760:00

Series

NYR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).