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Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV CNBC, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Jordan Staal scoring at 2:03. The Predators scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 2:03 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 25, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Alex Nedeljkovic (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH151110900225
CARCAR11001411112337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(1)
    R. Josi (3)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:44
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(1)PPG
    D. Hamilton (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:21

2nd period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(2)
    C. Sissons (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:53

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(2)
    J. Slavin (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    12:55

Overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(4)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    2:03

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:03CARDougie Hamilton · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 13:10CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 13:10NSHLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:10NSHMatt Benning · Roughingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

2nd

  • 8:59NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 5:36CARWarren Foegele · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

OT

  • 0:56CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 1:43NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, OT 2:03 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.39J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.21B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.16D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.15V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.12B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.11B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH30%70%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
40
Hits
66
16
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011030.12120—22:47
14M. EkholmD000+110.07030—22:18
4R. EllisD000020.07030—22:17
45A. CarrierD000+100.03002—20:48
64M. GranlundC000-120.071004518:10
19C. JarnkrokC000020.35310017:29
17B. HarpurD000-100.00410—17:24
10C. SissonsC011+200.005103017:15
9F. ForsbergL000-140.44202—17:03
11L. KuninC000+120.145025015:53
13Y. TreninC202+220.19400015:42
95M. DucheneC000-100.030107515:35
56E. HaulaL000020.142005815:32
5M. BenningD000-100.00212—15:27
92R. JohansenC000-230.224003114:41
84T. JeannotL000+110.09310—14:26
28E. TolvanenR000010.02300—12:25
21N. CousinsC000000.00120011:32
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)37343.9193.18+0.1862:03

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).