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Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV CNBC, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 2:26 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 24, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.1 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (2 G), 2. Brett Pesce (2 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Pesce2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1101509224
CARCAR113112313538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(1)
    R. Johansen (1), R. Ellis (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:14
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)
    B. Pesce (1), S. Lorentz (1)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:41

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)
    B. Pesce (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:19
  2. NSH
    E. Haula(1)
    M. Duchene (1), A. Carrier (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:41

3rd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(1)
    M. Necas (1), V. Trocheck (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:26
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    8:00
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.93win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:13

Penalties

NSH 22 PIM·CAR 20 PIM

1st

  • 0:51CARBrock McGinn · Embellishmentdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 0:51NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 6:09NSHAlexandre Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 8:10CARNino Niederreiter · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 16:54NSHRyan Johansen · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 2:22NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 3:50CARTeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 11:41CARSteven Lorentz · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 13:55NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 11:11CARWarren Foegele · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 11:11NSHMatt Duchene · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 18:13CARTeuvo Teravainen · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Johansen10 min
  • 18:13NSHRyan Johansen · Misconductdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 3rd 2:26 — CAR 53% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.93N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.22N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.18J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
1.92 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH31%69%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/4
22
Penalty minutes
20
49
Hits
56
13
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-310.01542—24:04
14M. EkholmD000040.11010—22:38
4R. EllisD011-230.20230—22:37
64M. GranlundC000-300.000004420:55
45A. CarrierD011+110.01102—18:52
10C. SissonsC000020.476005618:39
33V. ArvidssonL000010.09010—16:40
9F. ForsbergL101-120.36202—16:38
56E. HaulaL101020.231105315:29
17B. HarpurD000-110.01110—15:21
92R. JohansenC011-220.0330123815:02
44E. GudbransonD000-120.01410—13:54
19C. JarnkrokC000-100.10102012:53
13Y. TreninC000000.01700011:55
11L. KuninC000-100.00600011:34
25M. OlivierR000-110.03200—11:25
95M. DucheneC011010.0130210010:38
84T. JeannotL000010.20510—09:27
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)37334.8922.91-1.0959:15

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).