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Predators at Hurricanes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV CNBC, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 8:03 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 56% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 32, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 3. Brady Skjei.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0901508032
CARCAR110010211331

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(1)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (1), D. Hamilton (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    8:03

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(2)EN
    B. Pesce (3)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:07
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(1)
    J. Fast (1)
    deflectedxG 0.10
    0-3
    19:32

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·CAR 18 PIM

1st

  • 2:02NSHErik Haula · Roughingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 7:17NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 8:47CARVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 13:04CARDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:59CARSebastian Aho · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 19:03CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

2nd

  • 4:16CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 4:16NSHRyan Johansen · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:34CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 9:38NSHViktor Arvidsson · Interferencedrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 12:03CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 12:03NSHMatt Benning · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 16:37CARNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

3rd

  • 9:24CARWarren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 1st 8:03 — CAR 56% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.30S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.23S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.22V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.19V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.10D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCAR
2.50 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH46%54%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/7
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
18
39
Hits
52
10
Blocked shots
17
19
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-180.34400—26:29
14M. EkholmD000-120.34102—22:18
64M. GranlundC000-110.320006321:48
4R. EllisD000-110.08000—21:13
9F. ForsbergL000-150.60100—19:28
45A. CarrierD000030.08520—18:13
92R. JohansenC000010.101126217:31
95M. DucheneC000-140.23220017:23
56E. HaulaL000-200.002026516:58
28E. TolvanenR000-100.00300—16:35
10C. SissonsC000000.003004214:36
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.02202—13:24
13Y. TreninC000010.05200012:55
44E. GudbransonD000020.09230—12:03
84T. JeannotL000000.00410—11:28
5M. BenningD000000.00202—10:49
11L. KuninC000-110.11400010:14
15B. RichardsonR000020.16110—08:52
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)30282.9332.76+0.7658:44

Series

CAR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).