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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
San Jose Sharks
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, ALT·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 9:18 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 54% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were COL 32, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Josef Korenar stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (2 G, 1 A), 2. Evander Kane (3 A), 3. Josef Korenar (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Kane3 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Korenar30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01021606232
SJSSJS01219212333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(4)
    P. Nemeth (7), J. MacDonald (7)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    15:39
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(17)
    N. Kadri (19), C. Timmins (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    18:18
  3. SJS
    T. Hertl(18)
    E. Kane (24), A. Barabanov (5)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    19:47

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(19)
    E. Kane (25), N. Knyzhov (8)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:50
  2. SJS
    E. Karlsson(7)PPG
    E. Kane (26), T. Hertl (22)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    9:18

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:04COLRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Sasha Chmelevski2 min
  • 7:10SJSKevin Labanc · Holdingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 15:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

2nd

  • 11:06SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 7:36COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 10:17COLAndre Burakovsky · Boardingdrawn by Nikolai Knyzhov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, 3rd 9:18 — SJS 54% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.48T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.25T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.21B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.20E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.14R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.13N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.13R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.11T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09A. True · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02S. Chmelevski · On goal · xG 0.02A. True · On goal · xG 0.02N. Meloche · Missed · xG 0.02N. Meloche · On goal · xG 0.01N. Meloche · On goal · xG 0.01P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.92 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL40%60%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
32
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
29
7
Blocked shots
21
7
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-210.07110—24:36
8C. MakarD000-240.24100—23:29
92G. LandeskogL000-260.380024020:39
29N. MacKinnonC000-220.251024520:28
96M. RantanenR000-210.19100—20:03
27R. GravesD000+120.05302—18:38
72J. DonskoiR000+120.09110—16:38
91N. KadriC011+130.270006316:27
22C. TimminsD011+130.17000—16:07
24P. NemethD011+110.01220—15:52
26J. MacDonaldD011+100.08100—14:58
95A. BurakovskyL101+110.14002—14:56
17T. JostC101+110.462106714:00
13V. NichushkinR000+110.30200—13:58
18A. NewhookC000+110.080004413:20
37J. CompherL000010.031003811:36
41P. BellemareL000000.051208010:17
34C. SoderbergC000020.00100008:43
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)33303.9093.50+0.5057:34

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).