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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
San Jose Sharks
▸6
FinalTV NBCSCA, ALT2·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-2. The Sharks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rudolfs Balcers's goal at 4:18 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were COL 35, SJS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.5 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (3 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G), 3. Martin Jones (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Meier3 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Jones33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL111113011235
SJSSJS07210410627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(3)
    A. Burakovsky (8), D. Toews (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    18:32

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(5)PPG
    N. Kadri (7), N. MacKinnon (16)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:21
  2. SJS
    R. Simek(1)
    M. Vlasic (3), R. Balcers (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:13
  3. SJS
    K. Labanc(4)
    E. Kane (9), L. Couture (8)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:48

3rd period

  1. SJS
    R. Balcers(2)
    D. Gambrell (4), T. Meier (8)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    4:18
  2. SJS
    E. Karlsson(1)PPG
    E. Kane (10), T. Meier (9)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    7:53
  3. SJS
    J. Leonard(3)
    T. Meier (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:11
  4. SJS
    E. Kane(8)EN
    B. Burns (7)
    wristxG 0.90
    2-6
    18:53

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:46SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 10:35COLDevon Toews · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 14:23COLValeri Nichushkin · Hookingdrawn by Alexander True2 min
  • 16:30SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 3:02SJSAlexander True · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 7:45SJSAlexander True · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 6:36COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 17:48COLNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 17:48SJSRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Rudolfs Balcers, 3rd 4:18 — SJS 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.90T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.25L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.18J. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.17J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.16K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.16P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.15R. Simek · Goal · xG 0.14A. True · On goal · xG 0.13M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.10A. True · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.04P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03A. True · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 3.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
3.12 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL59%41%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
35
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
13
9
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+100.02112—27:02
49S. GirardD101-310.13010—25:41
29N. MacKinnonC011-160.380105022:28
92G. LandeskogL101-120.310106322:13
96M. RantanenR000-140.15002—21:14
27R. GravesD000-410.02210—20:27
91N. KadriC011-270.730026917:34
34J. MacDonaldD000000.18410—16:02
37J. CompherL000020.240004514:17
20B. SaadL000-200.0000010013:12
95A. BurakovskyL011000.07000—12:36
17T. JostC000-130.17110012:33
22C. TimminsD000010.02200—12:29
72J. DonskoiR000-120.26200—11:42
13V. NichushkinR000-210.15102—11:40
41P. BellemareL000-130.121006011:09
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.14400—10:42
2D. RenoufD000-110.06320—10:41
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)26215.8082.55-2.4559:01

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).