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Sharks at Avalanche
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The Sharks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 16:06 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 25, COL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Josef Korenar stopped 40 of 44 (.909); Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Conor Timmins (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Timmins2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS01014211325
COLCOL01522128444

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    A. Barabanov(2)PPG
    T. Hertl (20), E. Karlsson (14)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    4:25
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(20)
    C. Timmins (2), M. Rantanen (29)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    13:08
  3. COL
    A. Burakovsky(15)
    J. Compher (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:06

3rd period

  1. COL
    P. Nemeth(3)
    C. Makar (32), N. MacKinnon (43)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    9:05
  2. SJS
    L. Couture(17)SHG
    E. Kane (23)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    9:55
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(28)
    D. Toews (18), C. Timmins (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:34
  4. SJS
    T. Hertl(16)
    B. Burns (21), A. Barabanov (3)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    3-4
    17:47

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:44SJSRudolfs Balcers · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

2nd

  • 3:46COLGabriel Landeskog · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Josef Korenar2 min
  • 9:36SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min
  • 12:26COLDan Renouf · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 12:43SJSBrent Burns · Interferencedrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 6:23COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 9:15SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:55COLserved by K. Sherwood · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 2nd 16:06 — COL 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.18J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.13D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.09K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Goal · xG 0.02K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.13 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
44
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
6
19
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011030.22010—24:19
88B. BurnsD011-110.05014—23:09
38M. FerraroD000-100.00020—22:44
9E. KaneL011+230.59000—22:12
48T. HertlC112030.160004719:49
71N. KnyzhovD000-120.04150—19:47
39L. CoutureC101-110.121104619:41
44M. VlasicD000-100.01210—18:00
94A. BarabanovL112+110.06010—17:16
62K. LabancR000040.31000—14:32
28T. MeierR000+110.17012—14:22
73N. GregorL000-320.11300—13:01
70A. TrueC000-110.030103812:38
12P. MarleauC000000.000002512:23
92R. BalcersL000-400.00122—12:19
47C. JarosD000000.00130—11:26
43J. LeonardL000020.05100—08:50
16R. DonatoC000010.15000008:31
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Korenar(L)44404.9093.89-0.1157:01

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).