San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 9:55 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 21, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected.
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
0-19:55
0-211:53
0-318:54
Penalties
1st
- 7:52
Samuel Girard · Interferencedrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
- 13:56
Dylan Gambrell · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
- 14:23
Gabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
- 16:44
Ryan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
2nd
- 15:19
Evander Kane · Elbowingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
- 19:24
Ryan Donato · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
3rd
- 16:30
Devon Toews · High stickingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
- 18:46
Noah Gregor · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 9:55 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.60 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.3
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 4.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 12
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 1
- Giveaways
- 4
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
