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Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 14:24 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 38, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 2 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 3 A), 3. Philipp Grubauer (26 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer26 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL010110318438
SJSSJS0907010026

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    1-0
    14:24

3rd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:29
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    8:23
  3. COL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05
    4-0
    14:34

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·SJS 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:51SJSKevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 3:09SJSJoachim Blichfeld · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 14:57COLJacob MacDonald · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 8:08SJSJoachim Blichfeld · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon10 min
  • 12:11COLBrandon Saad · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Martin Jones2 min
  • 15:20COLJoonas Donskoi · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 14:24 — COL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.22P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.15E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.08J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blichfeld · On goal · xG 0.06J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blichfeld · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS0 G · 1.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.74 G
All situations
0 G1.6
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL69%31%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
14
15
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
22
8
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+220.02010—26:08
49S. GirardD101+230.09100—25:38
27R. GravesD000+140.07430—23:55
96M. RantanenR224+340.22000—21:42
92G. LandeskogL134+340.400105721:14
95A. BurakovskyL000040.23000—18:16
29N. MacKinnonC011+220.252006318:05
91N. KadriC022+130.430006017:13
20B. SaadL000020.42002—15:11
37J. CompherL000040.190006714:31
34J. MacDonaldD000+130.07112—14:07
17T. JostC000020.1301010012:16
22C. TimminsD000000.02000—11:30
72J. DonskoiR000000.00022—11:21
13V. NichushkinR000000.03200—11:20
41P. BellemareL000000.131005010:44
25L. O'ConnorR000010.00210—10:29
2D. RenoufD000000.00200—10:20
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)262601.0001.63+1.6360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).