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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Predators scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikhail Grigorenko's goal at 13:50 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 32, CBJ 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mikhail Grigorenko (1 G), 3. Mikko Lehtonen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Grigorenko1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Lehtonen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1719016232
CBJCBJ0102928427

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Jeannot(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:22

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Roslovic(11)PPG
    C. Atkinson (18), O. Bjorkstrand (25)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    2:08
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:53
  3. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(16)
    M. Lehtonen (5), V. Gavrikov (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:09

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Grigorenko(4)
    V. Gavrikov (9), M. Lehtonen (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    13:50
  2. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(17)EN
    M. Domi (15), C. Atkinson (19)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:59

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:27NSHAlexandre Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Gerbe2 min

2nd

  • 1:14NSHJuuse Saros · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:56CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Mikhail Grigorenko, 3rd 13:50 — CBJ 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.83O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.53C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.27J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.27C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Grigorenko · Goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06L. Foudy · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lehtonen · On goal · xG 0.05R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.05R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04R. MacInnis · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.02G. Bayreuther · Missed · xG 0.02G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lehtonen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kukan · Missed · xG 0.01
CBJ4 G · 3.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH58%42%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
32
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-250.22100—25:10
4R. EllisD000-110.05020—22:39
14M. EkholmD000+210.02000—21:46
9F. ForsbergL000-130.29000—20:01
45A. CarrierD000+230.43032—19:52
64M. GranlundC000-100.040204019:22
19C. JarnkrokC101020.11100017:31
56E. HaulaL000-220.111107717:05
28E. TolvanenR000-110.05200—15:36
10C. SissonsC000+130.211007515:28
92R. JohansenC000030.300102514:54
57D. FabbroD000-110.05000—14:35
84T. JeannotL101+240.27510—13:57
17B. HarpurD000-100.00100—13:18
11L. KuninC000-200.07100012:29
13Y. TreninC000+120.20110012:12
95M. DucheneC000-110.11200011:34
15B. RichardsonR000-100.00100—11:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)26233.8852.12-0.8858:14

Season series

NSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).